You must enable JavaScript to view this site.
This site uses cookies. By continuing to browse the site you are agreeing to our use of cookies. Review our legal notice and privacy policy for more details.
Close
Homepage > Browse by Publication Type > Media Releases > Uncharted Waters: Thinking Through Syria’s Dynamics

Uncharted Waters: Thinking Through Syria’s Dynamics

Damascus/Brussels  |   24 Nov 2011

The Syrian crisis has entered its most dangerous stage, requiring urgent attention to issues that the international community and Syrian opposition have largely been ignoring.

The crisis may or may not be in its final phase, but it is now defined by an explosive mix of heightened strategic stakes tying into a regional and wider international competition on the one hand and emotionally charged attitudes, communal polarisation and political wishful thinking on the other. As dynamics in both Syria and the broader international arena turn squarely against the regime, reactions are ranging from hysterical defiance on the part of its supporters, optimism among protesters that a bloody stalemate finally might end, heightened fears of sectarian retribution and even civil war among many, to triumphalism among those who view the crisis as an historic opportunity to decisively tilt the regional balance of power. 

Yet, almost entirely missing is a sober assessment of the challenges provoked by these shifts and the very real risk that they could derail or even foreclose the possibility of a successful transition. Crisis Group’s new briefing, Uncharted Waters: Thinking Through Syria’s Dynamics, analyses the five key issues and makes policy recommendations on them for Syrian and international actors:

  • the fate of the Allawite community;
  • the connection between Syria and Lebanon;
  • the nature and implications of heightened international involvement;
  • the long-term impact of the protest movement’s growing militarization; and
  • the legacy of creeping social, economic and institutional decay.

To read the full briefing, please click here.

Contact Info

Nadja Nolting (Brussels)
+32 (0) 2 541 1635
@NadjaLeoni

Kimberly Abbott (Washington)
+1 202 785 1602
@kimberlymabbott

For more information on how to contact Crisis Group's Communications Unit, please click here.