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Reports & Briefings

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South Sudan: Keeping Faith with the IGAD Peace Process,  Africa Report N°228   |  27 Jul 2015

Talks led by East Africa’s IGAD offer the best chance to end South Sudan’s spreading war. International partners must put aside their disillusionment and rally to the regional body’s new IGAD-PLUS mechanism to help mediators reach a deal.

Reform and Security Strategy in Tunisia,  Middle East and North Africa Report N°161   |  23 Jul 2015

Tunisia’s security apparatus is dysfunctional, at once fragmenting, asserting authority over democratic institutions, and failing to block significant jihadi advances. Without a comprehensive new strategy including reform of Tunisia’s internal security forces, the country will continue to stumble from crisis to crisis, and to​ swing between chaos and renewed dictatorship.

Revisiting Counter-terrorism Strategies in Pakistan: Opportunities and Pitfalls,  Asia Report N°271   |  22 Jul 2015

Pakistan’s six-month-old counter-terrorism strategy has failed to end the operations of violent jihadi groups, while military-led measures continue to undermine the civilian government. A winning strategy will have to include structural and governance reform, both to stop jihadis exploiting the absence of rule of law and to address the root causes of extremist violence.

Lebanon’s Self-Defeating Survival Strategies,  Middle East Report N°160   |  20 Jul 2015

Lebanon is surviving internal and regional strains remarkably well, but this resilience has become an excuse for tolerating political dysfunction. If the Lebanese political class does not take immediate steps like holding long-overdue elections, fighting corruption and promoting the rule of law, its complacency will only make an eventual fall harder and costlier.

Macedonia: Defusing the Bombs,  Europe Briefing N°75   |  9 Jul 2015

Macedonia is being shaken by twin political and security crises, both of which could escalate into violent confrontation or worse. While another civil war in the Western Balkans is not imminent, there is a serious threat to regional stability that the country’s leaders and international partners need to contain.

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Southern Thailand: Dialogue in Doubt,  Asia Report N°270   |  8 Jul 2015

The insurgency that has plagued southern Thailand for more than a decade continues to fester. Peace talks have collapsed and rifts between the government and separatists remain deep. Resolving the conflict requires Bangkok to accept pluralism and decentralisation, and rebels to articulate their goals and commit to a dialogue process.


North Caucasus: The Challenges of Integration (IV): Economic and Social Imperatives,  Europe Report N°237   |  7 Jul 2015

For two decades, the North Caucasus conflict has been among Europe’s deadliest. Recently, victims were less, but risks associated with growing Islamic State (IS) influence in the insurgency are growing. To prevent a new rise in violence, Moscow must promote transparent governance as well as social and economic opportunities in its six North Caucasus republics.


On Thinner Ice: The Final Phase of Colombia’s Peace Talks,  Latin America Briefing N°32   |  2 Jul 2015

Recent advances have given Colombia’s peace talks between the government and the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) a much-needed respite, but, amid an escalation of violence, the risks of an involuntary collapse are real. Saving the process requires conflict de-escalation, swift progress on the agenda and rallying popular support.


The Status of the Status Quo at Jerusalem’s Holy Esplanade,  Middle East Report N°159   |  30 Jun 2015

Jerusalem’s Holy Esplanade remains at the epicentre of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. With the holy month of Ramadan underway and the Jewish high holidays soon to follow, tensions are likely to increase. Calming the conflict’s symbolic core requires more support for the site’s status quo, including Palestinian participation and encouraging religious dialogue.


Chechnya: The Inner Abroad,  Europe Report N°236   |  30 Jun 2015

A powerful propaganda machine promotes the “success story” of today’s Chechnya. But its peace is fragile; government repression is used to keep the people at bay while economic inequality, poor social infrastructure, lack of genuine reconciliation and almost full impunity for past abuses reflect the republic’s daily reality.

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