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North East Asia

Stirring up the South China Sea (III): A Fleeting Opportunity for Calm

Asia Report N°267, 7 May 2015

Law enforcement personnels examine passing ships with telescopes on the patrol vessel Haixun-21 on the South China Sea in south China. 21 April 2015. AFP/  GUO QIUDA, XINHUA

The South China Sea is the cockpit of geopolitics in East Asia, and growing tensions pose a serious threat to stability in the region. China and ASEAN must take advantage of the currently favourable environment to establish new codes of crisis management, especially at sea, to withstand any new conflicts.

Recent Reports

Stirring up the South China Sea (III): A Fleeting Opportunity for Calm, Asia Report N°267, 7 May 2015

The South China Sea is the cockpit of geopolitics in East Asia, and growing tensions pose a serious threat to stability in the region. China and ASEAN must take advantage of the currently favourable environment to establish new codes of crisis management, especially at sea, to withstand any new conflicts.

Risks of Intelligence Pathologies in South Korea, Asia Report N°259, 5 Aug 2014

In the shadow of growing North Korean threats, South Korea needs to reform its intelligence apparatus to restore public confidence while enhancing the country’s intelligence capacity.

Old Scores and New Grudges: Evolving Sino-Japanese Tensions, Asia Report N°258, 24 Jul 2014

The deterioration in relations between China and Japan has spiraled beyond an island sovereignty dispute and risks an armed conflict neither wants. A November regional summit is a fence-mending opportunity – if the two countries’ leaders rise above nationalism and manage multiple flashpoints.

中文

Fire on the City Gate: Why China Keeps North Korea Close, Asia Report N°254, 9 Dec 2013

North Korea’s belligerent behaviour is testing the patience of China, its principal backer, but a consequential Chinese policy change, which the U.S. and its allies hope for, is not likely soon. 中文

Dangerous Waters: China-Japan Relations on the Rocks, Asia Report N°245, 8 Apr 2013

China and Japan must begin talks on crisis prevention and mitigation regarding the disputed waters of the East China Sea to avoid an accidental clash that could lead to a larger conflict. 

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China’s Central Asia Problem, Asia Report N°244, 27 Feb 2013

China’s influence is growing rapidly in Central Asia at a time when the region is looking increasingly unstable.

中文

North Korean Succession and the Risks of Instability, Asia Report N°230, 25 Jul 2012

Despite last week’s abrupt shuffle at the top of the military leadership, Kim Jŏng-ŭn appears to be firmly established as the new leader of North Korea, completing a faster and smoother power transition than many experts anticipated.

한국어   中文

Stirring up the South China Sea (II): Regional Responses, Asia Report N°229, 24 Jul 2012

The long-simmering South China Sea dispute is doomed to escalate if the countries contesting its waters fail to take steps to reduce tensions.

中文

Stirring up the South China Sea (I), Asia Report N°223, 23 Apr 2012

China is one of its own worst enemies in the South China Sea, as its local governments and agencies struggle for power and money, inflaming tensions with its neighbours, illustrated by Beijing’s latest standoff with the Philippines.

中文

South Korea: The Shifting Sands of Security Policy, Asia Briefing N°130, 1 Dec 2011

Although North Korea has offered unconditional dialogue since January, South Korea is maintaining a tough policy line towards the North as Seoul approaches a year of electoral campaign politics. The risk of conflict remains serious, particularly in the area near the Northern Limit Line (NLL), the military demarcation in the Yellow Sea.

русский
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