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Europe

The Ukraine Crisis: Risks of Renewed Military Conflict after Minsk II

Europe Briefing N°73, 1 April 2015

An Ukrainian military convoy is pictured through the shooting spot of an armored personnel carrier (APC) on the road from Kramatorsk to Debaltseve in Donetsk region, December 24, 2014.

Danger of renewed fighting in Ukraine’s east is mounting. Crisis Group’s new briefing shows that neither side is looking to compromise or able to win outright. Our accompanying statement sets out a new Western strategy with Russia to defuse one of the greatest post-Cold War threats to European stability and global order.

Recent Reports

The Ukraine Crisis: Risks of Renewed Military Conflict after Minsk II, Europe Briefing N°73, 1 Apr 2015

Danger of renewed fighting in Ukraine’s east is mounting. Crisis Group’s new briefing shows that neither side is looking to compromise or able to win outright. Our accompanying statement sets out a new Western strategy with Russia to defuse one of the greatest post-Cold War threats to European stability and global order.

русский

Eastern Ukraine: A Dangerous Winter, Europe Report N°235, 18 Dec 2014

Winter in Ukraine is injecting further uncertainty into an already volatile conflict. After well over 5,000 deaths and eight months of war, eastern Ukraine – particularly the separatist-held parts of Donetsk and Luhansk – now runs the risk of a humanitarian crisis. All parties involved in the conflict should refrain from offensive operations, concentrating instead on helping the population survive the winter, and laying the groundwork for a political settlement.

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Turkey and the PKK: Saving the Peace Process, Europe Report N°234, 6 Nov 2014

The peace process between Turkey and the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is threatened by ceasefire violations and spillover from the conflicts in Syria and Iraq. Both sides must set aside pretexts and inertia and seize the opportunity of having powerful leaders able to implement a deal whose outlines are clearer than ever.

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Bosnia’s Future, Europe Report N°232, 10 Jul 2014

While the physical scars of the 1992-1995 Bosnia war have healed, political agony and ethnic tension persist. Real peace requires a new constitution and bottom-up political change.


Ukraine: Running out of Time, Europe Report N°231, 14 May 2014

Ukraine needs a government of national unity that reaches out to its own people and tackles the country’s long overdue reforms; both Russia and Western powers should back a vision for the country as a bridge between East and West, not a geopolitical battleground. 

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The Rising Costs of Turkey’s Syrian Quagmire, Europe Report N°230, 30 Apr 2014

Continuous refugee flows from Syria are stretching Turkey’s capacities and necessitate long-term adjustments as well as stronger international engagement to better share the burden. Türkçe

Divided Cyprus: Coming to Terms on an Imperfect Reality, Europe Report N°229, 14 Mar 2014

To avoid another failed effort at federal reunification in the new round of Cyprus negotiations, all sides should break old taboos and discuss all possible options, including independence for Turkish Cypriots within the European Union. Türkçe   Ελληνικά

Too Far, Too Fast: Sochi, Tourism and Conflict in the Caucasus, Europe Report N°228, 30 Jan 2014

The recent bombings in the south of Russia could prove a precursor to more violence and instability in the Caucasus if Moscow does not abandon repression for political dialogue. русский

Crying “Wolf”: Why Turkish Fears Need Not Block Kurdish Reform, Europe Report N°227, 7 Oct 2013

Turkey’s government needs to recover lost momentum, press forward with democratic reforms and constitutional revision, and recognise that steps that benefit the country’s Kurds must be decoupled from disarmament talks with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK).

Türkçe

Armenia and Azerbaijan: A Season of Risks, Europe Briefing N°71, 26 Sep 2013

Stronger international engagement is needed to help prevent the deadly conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan from escalating gravely at a time of internal political tensions in both. русский
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Latest Translations

Turkey and the PKK: Saving the Peace Process
Europe Report N°234
Now available in Turkish
Divided Cyprus: Coming to Terms on an Imperfect Reality
Europe Report N°229
Now available in Greek
Divided Cyprus - Coming to Terms on an Imperfect Reality
Europe Report N°229, 14 March 2014
Now available in Turkish
Armenia and Azerbaijan: Season risks
Europe Briefing N ° 71, 26 Sept 2013
Now available in Russian