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Ukraine

Russia and the Separatists in Eastern Ukraine

Europe and Central Asia Briefing N°79, 5 February 2016

Ukraine's President Petro Poroshenko (C) looks at a Ukrainian flag brought from an eastern region of the country where a military conflict took place, during his visit to an exhibition of new Ukrainian military equipment in Kiev, Ukraine, October 14, 2015. REUTERS/Gleb Garanich

A 2015 ceasefire signed in Minsk is largely holding in eastern Ukraine, while the most likely outcome is a brittle, long-term frozen conflict. Nevertheless, Russia is juggling many options, and Minsk remains a vital possible path to resolution. The deal deserves steadfast, sanctions-backed support from the U.S. and European Union.

Recent Reports

Russia and the Separatists in Eastern Ukraine, Europe and Central Asia Briefing N°79, 5 Feb 2016

A 2015 ceasefire signed in Minsk is largely holding in eastern Ukraine, while the most likely outcome is a brittle, long-term frozen conflict. Nevertheless, Russia is juggling many options, and Minsk remains a vital possible path to resolution. The deal deserves steadfast, sanctions-backed support from the U.S. and European Union.

The Ukraine Crisis: Risks of Renewed Military Conflict after Minsk II, Europe Briefing N°73, 1 Apr 2015

Danger of renewed fighting in Ukraine’s east is mounting. Crisis Group’s new briefing shows that neither side is looking to compromise or able to win outright. Our accompanying statement sets out a new Western strategy with Russia to defuse one of the greatest post-Cold War threats to European stability and global order.

русский

Eastern Ukraine: A Dangerous Winter, Europe Report N°235, 18 Dec 2014

Winter in Ukraine is injecting further uncertainty into an already volatile conflict. After well over 5,000 deaths and eight months of war, eastern Ukraine – particularly the separatist-held parts of Donetsk and Luhansk – now runs the risk of a humanitarian crisis. All parties involved in the conflict should refrain from offensive operations, concentrating instead on helping the population survive the winter, and laying the groundwork for a political settlement.

中文

Ukraine: Running out of Time, Europe Report N°231, 14 May 2014

Ukraine needs a government of national unity that reaches out to its own people and tackles the country’s long overdue reforms; both Russia and Western powers should back a vision for the country as a bridge between East and West, not a geopolitical battleground. 

中文

Statement

Belarus’ President Alexander Lukashenko, Russian President Vladimir Putin, German Chancellor Angela Merkel, France's President Francois Hollande and Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko (L-R) arrive for a family photo at the presidential residence in Minsk on February 11, 2015.

Statement on the Ukraine Crisis and European Stability

1 April 2015: The crisis in Ukraine presents one of the gravest threats to global order in the past quarter century.

Video

jmguehenno-video

A Western Strategy for Ukraine

1 April 2015: In this video, President & CEO Jean-Marie Guéhenno explains Crisis Group's ten point strategy on how Western powers can defuse one of the greatest post-Cold War threats to European stability and global order.