01 April 2014
Following Feb breakdown of Geneva II negotiations seeking political resolution to conflict, regime intensified push to secure control over are ...
Nearly two-and-half years after Hosni Mubarak’s overthrow, Egypt is embarking on a transition in many ways disturbingly like the one it just experienced, only with different actors at the helm and far more fraught and violent.
While a diplomatic settlement of the Syrian war is unrealistic at present, it remains the only viable option. It will require difficult steps by local, regional and international actors to accommodate competing interests.
As the Syrian conflict increasingly implicates and spills over into Lebanon, a priority for its government and international partners must be to tackle the refugee crisis, lest it ignite domestic conflict that a weak state and volatile region can ill afford.
Syria’s conflict gives its Kurdish population an opening to rectify historic wrongs and push for more autonomy, but facing internal divisions, poor ties with the non-Kurdish opposition and regional rivalries, its challenge is to articulate clear, unified and achievable demands.
Syria’s civil war is spilling beyond its borders and threatening Lebanon’s stability. More than ever, it is crucial that Lebanon’s leaders address the fundamental shortfalls of their governing structure, which exacerbate factionalism and leave the country vulnerable to the chaos next door.
As fighting rages in Aleppo, the combination of a regime morphing into a formidable militia and an Alawite community fearing for its survival leaves Syria’s opposition – itself threatened with radicalisation – with a difficult task: to tackle its own demons, reach out to the Alawites and focus on restoring strife-torn institutions.
With Egypt’s presidential election having become a free-for-all, zero-sum game, the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF) should take a step back and, with the full range of political actors, agree on principles for a genuine and safe political transition.
With the Syrian crisis having taken a perilous turn, predictable obstacles in implementing UN envoy Kofi Annan’s peace plan should not lead to give up on what – for now at least – remains the only serious option on the table.
أزمة جديدة، أشباح قديمة في لبنانتشرين الثاني 9
الأزمة التي عصفت بلبنان منذ اغتيال رئيس الوزراء الأسبق رفيق الحريري في عام 2005 بلغت منعطفاً جديداً وخطيراً مع اقتراب المحكمة الدولية المكلفة بالتحقيق في الاغتيال من إصدار قررها الظني. سحر الأطرش, محللة مجموعة الأزمات الدولية في الشؤون اللبنانية تتحدث في هذه الحلقة من بودكاست مجموعة الأزمات الدولية عن الأزمة الحالية في لبنان.استمع
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