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Egypt, Syria & Lebanon

Rigged Cars and Barrel Bombs: Aleppo and the State of the Syrian War

Middle East Report N°155, 9 September 2014

A man walks between destroyed buildings after heavy shelling by regime forces in Aleppo, Syria on August 28, 2014.Syria is sliding toward unending war between an autocratic, sectarian regime and the even more autocratic, more sectarian jihadi group that has made dramatic gains in both Syria and Iraq. Without either a ceasefire in Aleppo or greater support from its state backers, the mainstream opposition is likely to suffer a defeat that will dash chances of a political resolution for the foreseeable future.

Recent Reports

Rigged Cars and Barrel Bombs: Aleppo and the State of the Syrian War, Middle East Report N°155, 9 Sep 2014

Syria is sliding toward unending war between an autocratic, sectarian regime and the even more autocratic, more sectarian jihadi group that has made dramatic gains in both Syria and Iraq. Without either a ceasefire in Aleppo or greater support from its state backers, the mainstream opposition is likely to suffer a defeat that will dash chances of a political resolution for the foreseeable future.

Lebanon’s Hizbollah Turns Eastward to Syria, Middle East Report N°153, 27 May 2014

Hizbollah’s intervention in Syria strengthens the Assad regime but transforms the Shiite movement as it redefines the enemy and itself within the confines of an increasingly sectarian struggle.

Flight of Icarus? The PYD’s Precarious Rise in Syria, Middle East Report N°151, 8 May 2014

The PYD (Kurdish Democratic Union Party) has imposed its dominance in northern Syria, but its long-run prospects – like those of the areas it controls – depend on the party’s ability to adopt a more balanced and inclusive strategy.

Anything But Politics: The State of Syria’s Political Opposition, Middle East Report N°146, 17 Oct 2013

Often derided for its infighting or dismissed as irrelevant, Syria’s political opposition reflects the contradictions and conflicting geopolitical interests upon which it was founded. 中文

Marching in Circles: Egypt’s Dangerous Second Transition, Middle East/North Africa Briefing N°35, 7 Aug 2013

Nearly two-and-half years after Hosni Mubarak’s overthrow, Egypt is embarking on a transition in many ways disturbingly like the one it just experienced, only with different actors at the helm and far more fraught and violent.

中文

Syria’s Metastasising Conflicts, Middle East Report N°143, 27 Jun 2013

While a diplomatic settlement of the Syrian war is unrealistic at present, it remains the only viable option. It will require difficult steps by local, regional and international actors to accommodate competing interests.

中文

Too Close for Comfort: Syrians in Lebanon, Middle East Report N°141, 13 May 2013

As the Syrian conflict increasingly implicates and spills over into Lebanon, a priority for its government and international partners must be to tackle the refugee crisis, lest it ignite domestic conflict that a weak state and volatile region can ill afford.

Syria’s Kurds: A Struggle Within a Struggle, Middle East Report N°136, 22 Jan 2013

Syria’s conflict gives its Kurdish population an opening to rectify historic wrongs and push for more autonomy, but facing internal divisions, poor ties with the non-Kurdish opposition and regional rivalries, its challenge is to articulate clear, unified and achievable demands.

A Precarious Balancing Act: Lebanon and the Syrian Conflict , Middle East Report N°132, 22 Nov 2012

Syria’s civil war is spilling beyond its borders and threatening Lebanon’s stability. More than ever, it is crucial that Lebanon’s leaders address the fundamental shortfalls of their governing structure, which exacerbate factionalism and leave the country vulnerable to the chaos next door.

Tentative Jihad: Syria’s Fundamentalist Opposition, Middle East Report N°131, 12 Oct 2012

The presence of Salafi groups among Syria’s armed opposition is an irrefutable, damaging yet not necessarily irreversible trend. Breaking this cycle will require the opposition to curb their influence, members of the international community to coordinate their policies and a perilous military stalemate to transition to a political solution.
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أزمة جديدة، أشباح قديمة في لبنان
تشرين الثاني 9
 

الأزمة التي عصفت بلبنان منذ اغتيال رئيس الوزراء الأسبق رفيق الحريري في عام 2005 بلغت منعطفاً جديداً وخطيراً مع اقتراب المحكمة الدولية المكلفة بالتحقيق في الاغتيال من إصدار قررها الظني. سحر الأطرش, محللة مجموعة الأزمات الدولية في الشؤون اللبنانية تتحدث في هذه الحلقة من بودكاست مجموعة الأزمات الدولية عن الأزمة الحالية في لبنان.استمع