As the Syrian conflict increasingly implicates and spills over into Lebanon, a priority for its government and international partners must be to tackle the refugee crisis, lest it ignite domestic conflict that a weak state and volatile region can ill afford.
01 April 2014
Continued spillover from Syrian conflict as Syria’s Assad regime intensified fight with Syrian rebels along Lebanese border. Rebel defea ...
Syria’s civil war is spilling beyond its borders and threatening Lebanon’s stability. More than ever, it is crucial that Lebanon’s leaders address the fundamental shortfalls of their governing structure, which exacerbate factionalism and leave the country vulnerable to the chaos next door.
Although attention naturally is focused on possible ripple effects on Lebanon from Syria’s conflict, it would be wrong to ignore the unresolved legacy of the battle that shook the Nahr al-Bared Palestinian refugee camp five years ago. The risk of renewed flare-up, already significant, is now compounded by the regional crisis.
An intra-Lebanese deal on how to respond to forthcoming indictments by the Special Tribunal for Lebanon (STL) is necessary to avoid a breakdown of the country’s precarious balance of power, even as the STL pursues its work.
The crisis that has gripped Lebanon since the murder of former Prime Minister Rafic Hariri five years ago has taken a new and dangerous turn.
The Israeli-Lebanese border is exceptionally calm and uniquely dangerous, both for the same reason: fear that a new round of hostilities would be far more violent and could spill over regionally.
To succeed, Prime Minister Saad Hariri faces the challenge of moving Lebanon from the logic of sectarian mobilisation and confrontation in which it has been embroiled. Much will depend on others but his role as head of a national unity government makes him central.
Lebanon’s 7 June elections risk offering a false hope. That the parties agreed to shift their conflict from street to ballot box is surely a good thing, but it should not be misinterpreted.
The vast Palestinian refugee population is routinely forgotten and ignored in much of the Middle East. Not so in Lebanon.
After decades during which they saw their influence consistently decline, Lebanon’s Christians are in a position to once again play a decisive political role.
أزمة جديدة، أشباح قديمة في لبنانتشرين الثاني 9
الأزمة التي عصفت بلبنان منذ اغتيال رئيس الوزراء الأسبق رفيق الحريري في عام 2005 بلغت منعطفاً جديداً وخطيراً مع اقتراب المحكمة الدولية المكلفة بالتحقيق في الاغتيال من إصدار قررها الظني. سحر الأطرش, محللة مجموعة الأزمات الدولية في الشؤون اللبنانية تتحدث في هذه الحلقة من بودكاست مجموعة الأزمات الدولية عن الأزمة الحالية في لبنان.استمع
International Crisis Group © 2014 |