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Iraq, Iran & the Gulf

Yemen’s Southern Question: Avoiding a Breakdown

Middle East Report N°145, 25 September 2013

Supporters of Yemen's separatist Southern Movement demonstrate in the southern port city of Aden March 18, 2013.Yemen must agree on its state structure, including the South’s status, to forge a stable future. A final agreement cannot be forced by the National Dialogue Conference; for some key issues, only continued, more inclusive talks in the context of confidence-building measures can succeed.

Recent Reports

Yemen’s Southern Question: Avoiding a Breakdown, Middle East Report N°145, 25 Sep 2013

Yemen must agree on its state structure, including the South’s status, to forge a stable future. A final agreement cannot be forced by the National Dialogue Conference; for some key issues, only continued, more inclusive talks in the context of confidence-building measures can succeed.

Make or Break: Iraq’s Sunnis and the State, Middle East Report N°144, 14 Aug 2013

With Sunni Arab frustration at a boil at home, unprecedented Sunni-Shiite polarisation in the region and deadly car bombings plaguing the country, Iraq is inching toward relapse into generalised sectarian conflict.

Great Expectations: Iran’s New President and the Nuclear Talks, Middle East Briefing N°36, 13 Aug 2013

In the midst of dispiriting events sweeping the region, Hassan Rouhani’s 4 August swearing in as Iran’s president offers a rare and welcome glimmer of hope.

Yemen’s Military-Security Reform: Seeds of New Conflict?, Middle East Report N°139, 4 Apr 2013

Yemen must take further steps to reform its security forces, or longstanding divisions could well undermine its political transition, which entered into a six-month “national dialogue” on 18 March.

Spider Web: The Making and Unmaking of Iran Sanctions, Middle East Report N°138, 25 Feb 2013

For some, a tool to rein in Iran’s nuclear ambitions, for Tehran an illegitimate intrusion into domestic affairs: what is clear is that sanctions have, as yet, failed in diminishing dangerous tensions on the core question of whether Iran’s nuclear goals are military or merely civilian.

Iraq’s Secular Opposition: The Rise and Decline of Al-Iraqiya, Middle East Report N°127, 31 Jul 2012

The demise of Iraq’s Al-Iraqiya Alliance, at threat of marginalisation, would remove the country’s sole credible political representative of a very important community: the secular, non-sectarian middle class.

Déjà Vu All Over Again: Iraq’s Escalating Political Crisis, Middle East Report N°126, 30 Jul 2012

To overcome Iraq’s current political crisis and prevent the breakdown of the entire post-2003 order, Prime Minister Maliki and his opponents both will have to agree to painful compromises.

Yemen: Enduring Conflicts, Threatened Transition, Middle East Report N°125, 3 Jul 2012

Flawed as it is, Yemen’s political settlement avoided a potentially devastating civil war and secured President Ali Abdullah Saleh’s resignation, but now the challenge is to address longstanding political and economic grievances.

The P5+1, Iran and the Perils of Nuclear Brinkmanship, Middle East Briefing N°34, 15 Jun 2012

The nuclear negotiations with Iran that resume in Moscow on Monday are likely to hit a wall and, without a change in approach, risk break-down with dire consequences. 

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Iraq and the Kurds: The High-Stakes Hydrocarbons Gambit, Middle East Report N°120, 19 Apr 2012

The political standoff between Iraq’s Kurds and the government in Baghdad has left pressing disputes over oil and territories unresolved, intensifying the likelihood of conflict.

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