November’s deadline could be the last chance to avoid a breakdown in the Iran and the P5+1 nuclear talks. Compromise on Iran’s enrichment capacity is key to ending the impasse, requiring both sides to walk back from maximalist positions and focus on realistic solutions.
01 September 2014
Near-hiatus in nuclear talks as European members of P5+1 observed EU summer vacation; Iran and U.S. tried to keep momentum, 7 Aug met bilaterally in Geneva. International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) ...
A comprehensive nuclear accord may be in reach if both sides – Iran and the Security Council permanent members plus Germany – show determination to settle on a technical agreement and isolate the deal from its complex regional context.
The nuclear negotiations with Iran that resume in Moscow on Monday are likely to hit a wall and, without a change in approach, risk break-down with dire consequences.
As the standoff over Iran’s nuclear program edges closer to military confrontation, talks may be a way out but require mutual compromise and Western abandonment of the notion that a mix of threats and crippling sanctions will force Iran to back down.
The revelation in 2009 of nuclear facilities near Qom intensified international criticism of Iran’s opaque nuclear development.
For perhaps the first time since Iran and the U.S. broke ties in 1980, there are real prospects for fundamental change.
Though much of the focus since Mahmoud Ahmadi-Nejad’s June 2005 electoral victory has been on Iran’s foreign policy, the fate of his presidency will ride at least as much on his domestic performance.
There is no easy way out of the Iranian nuclear dilemma. Iran, emboldened by the situation in Iraq and soaring oil prices, and animated by a combination of insecurity and assertive nationalism, insists on its right to develop full nuclear fuel cycle capability, including the ability to enrich uranium.
The Iran Nuclear Accord: First Step in a Long Journey
25 November 2013: The International Crisis Group strongly welcomes the 24 November agreement between Iran and the P5+1 (five permanent members of the UN Security Council plus Germany).
Spider Web: The Making and Unmaking of Iran Sanctions
March 2013: This interactive highlights the major unilateral, multilateral and international sanctions imposed on Iran and breaks them down by year, economic impact, trigger, targets and reversibility.
Iran's Nuclear Crisis
27 May 2014: Ali Vaez, Senior Iran Analyst for the International Crisis Group, discusses the latest developments in nuclear negotiations between the P5+1 and suggests a way forward that would satisfy all sides.
International Crisis Group at Work: Iran
7 March 2013: Ali Vaez, Senior Iran Analyst for the International Crisis Group, discusses the latest round of talks between Iran and the P5+1 on sanctions and Iran's nuclear enrichment program.
Iran & the Nuclear Talks
26 June 2012: Ali Vaez, Crisis Group's Senior Iran Analyst, discusses the latest round of nuclear talks between Iran and the P5+1 and advises how best to avoid a military confrontation.
International Crisis Group © 2014 |