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Iran

Iran After the Nuclear Deal

Middle East Report N°166, 15 December 2015

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Some in the West hope the nuclear deal with Iran will empower the country’s moderates. But playing Iranian domestic politics directly could backfire. The West should recognise that any change will be gradual, best supported by implementing the nuclear accord, resuming trade, and diplomacy that balances Iranian and Arab interests in the Middle East.

Recent Reports

Iran After the Nuclear Deal, Middle East Report N°166, 15 Dec 2015

Some in the West hope the nuclear deal with Iran will empower the country’s moderates. But playing Iranian domestic politics directly could backfire. The West should recognise that any change will be gradual, best supported by implementing the nuclear accord, resuming trade, and diplomacy that balances Iranian and Arab interests in the Middle East.

Iran Nuclear Talks: The Fog Recedes, Middle East Briefing N°43, 10 Dec 2014

When twelve months of intense negotiations between Iran and the P5+1/EU3+3 ended with yet another extension, sceptics saw this as confirmation that the talks are doomed. But it would be as grave a mistake to underestimate the real progress as to overstate the chances of ultimate success. A landmark agreement is still within reach if both sides adopt more flexible postures on enrichment capacity and sanctions relief.

中文

Iran and the P5+1: Getting to “Yes”, Middle East Briefing N°40, 27 Aug 2014

November’s deadline could be the last chance to avoid a breakdown in the Iran and the P5+1 nuclear talks. Compromise on Iran’s enrichment capacity is key to ending the impasse, requiring both sides to walk back from maximalist positions and focus on realistic solutions.

Iran and the P5+1: Solving the Nuclear Rubik’s Cube, Middle East Report N°152, 9 May 2014

A comprehensive nuclear accord may be in reach if both sides – Iran and the Security Council permanent members plus Germany – show determination to settle on a technical agreement and isolate the deal from its complex regional context.

Great Expectations: Iran’s New President and the Nuclear Talks, Middle East Briefing N°36, 13 Aug 2013

In the midst of dispiriting events sweeping the region, Hassan Rouhani’s 4 August swearing in as Iran’s president offers a rare and welcome glimmer of hope. 中文

Spider Web: The Making and Unmaking of Iran Sanctions, Middle East Report N°138, 25 Feb 2013

For some, a tool to rein in Iran’s nuclear ambitions, for Tehran an illegitimate intrusion into domestic affairs: what is clear is that sanctions have, as yet, failed in diminishing dangerous tensions on the core question of whether Iran’s nuclear goals are military or merely civilian. 中文

The P5+1, Iran and the Perils of Nuclear Brinkmanship, Middle East Briefing N°34, 15 Jun 2012

The nuclear negotiations with Iran that resume in Moscow on Monday are likely to hit a wall and, without a change in approach, risk break-down with dire consequences. 

русский

In Heavy Waters: Iran’s Nuclear Program, the Risk of War and Lessons from Turkey, Middle East and Europe Report N°116, 23 Feb 2012

As the standoff over Iran’s nuclear program edges closer to military confrontation, talks may be a way out but require mutual compromise and Western abandonment of the notion that a mix of threats and crippling sanctions will force Iran to back down.

Türkçe

The Iran Nuclear Issue: The View from Beijing, Asia Briefing N°100, 17 Feb 2010

The revelation in 2009 of nuclear facilities near Qom intensified international criticism of Iran’s opaque nuclear development.

中文

U.S.-Iranian Engagement: The View from Tehran, Middle East Briefing N°28, 2 Jun 2009

For perhaps the first time since Iran and the U.S. broke ties in 1980, there are real prospects for fundamental change.

עברית
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Open Letter to Iran’s and the P5+1/EU3+3’s Nuclear Negotiators

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