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Iraq

Iraq’s Jihadi Jack-in-the-Box

Middle East Briefing N°38, 20 June 2014

A man displays an Iraqi army jacket near burnt vehicles belonging to Iraqi security forces at a checkpoint in east Mosul, one day after radical Sunni Muslim insurgents seized control of the city, June 11, 2014. The jihadi surge is the tragic, violent outcome of steadily deteriorating political dynamics. Instead of a rash military intervention and unconditional support for the Iraqi government, pressure is needed to reverse sectarian polarisation and a disastrous record of governance.

Recent Reports

Iraq’s Jihadi Jack-in-the-Box, Middle East Briefing N°38, 20 Jun 2014

The jihadi surge is the tragic, violent outcome of steadily deteriorating political dynamics. Instead of a rash military intervention and unconditional support for the Iraqi government, pressure is needed to reverse sectarian polarisation and a disastrous record of governance.

Iraq: Falluja's Faustian Bargain, Middle East Report N°150, 28 Apr 2014

An alliance between the local military council and the jihadi ISIL group is keeping the besieging Iraqi army at bay around Falluja, but unless Sunni alienation is addressed, the city risks a new round of devastating conflict.

Make or Break: Iraq’s Sunnis and the State, Middle East Report N°144, 14 Aug 2013

With Sunni Arab frustration at a boil at home, unprecedented Sunni-Shiite polarisation in the region and deadly car bombings plaguing the country, Iraq is inching toward relapse into generalised sectarian conflict. 中文

Iraq’s Secular Opposition: The Rise and Decline of Al-Iraqiya, Middle East Report N°127, 31 Jul 2012

The demise of Iraq’s Al-Iraqiya Alliance, at threat of marginalisation, would remove the country’s sole credible political representative of a very important community: the secular, non-sectarian middle class.

Déjà Vu All Over Again: Iraq’s Escalating Political Crisis, Middle East Report N°126, 30 Jul 2012

To overcome Iraq’s current political crisis and prevent the breakdown of the entire post-2003 order, Prime Minister Maliki and his opponents both will have to agree to painful compromises.

Iraq and the Kurds: The High-Stakes Hydrocarbons Gambit, Middle East Report N°120, 19 Apr 2012

The political standoff between Iraq’s Kurds and the government in Baghdad has left pressing disputes over oil and territories unresolved, intensifying the likelihood of conflict.

Failing Oversight: Iraq’s Unchecked Government, Middle East Report N°113, 26 Sep 2011

Spreading corruption threatens to undermine the significant progress Iraq has made toward reducing violence and strengthening state institutions.

Iraq and the Kurds: Confronting Withdrawal Fears, Middle East Report N° 103, 28 Mar 2011

Iraq’s new coalition government and the Kurdistan regional government in Erbil must start talks on disputed internal boundaries or risk an outbreak of violent conflict along a “trigger” line dividing army troops and Kurdish regional guard forces, the peshmergas.

Loose Ends: Iraq’s Security Forces Between U.S. Drawdown and Withdrawal, Middle East Report N°99, 26 Oct 2010

The main threat to Iraq’s political order today emanates not from an organised insurgency but from within the political system itself.

Iraq's Uncertain Future: Elections and Beyond, Middle East Report N°94, 25 Feb 2010

As a rule, Iraq’s post-Saddam elections have tended to magnify pre-existing negative trends.

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