The imminent collapse of Libya’s economy could impoverish millions, foster chaos and more radicalisation. At the heart of Libya’s misery is frenzied competition for control over the country’s oil resources. Ongoing UN-led talks should urgently prioritise economic governance, local ceasefires and armed defence of oil facilities.
01 June 2016
West-based pro-Govt of National Accord (GNA) and east-based anti-GNA factions mobilised troops to retake Sirte from Islamic State (IS); could lead to confrontation in Gulf of Sirte area over control of ...
After six months of worsening clashes, Libya is on the brink of all-out civil war and catastrophic state collapse. All parties must press the two rival authorities to join a national unity government, resolutely uphold the UN arms embargo, and persuade regional actors to stop fuelling the conflict.
Unless Libya breaks the cycle of violence and urgently reforms its justice system, there is a real risk of an increase in assassinations, urban violence and communal conflicts.
The violent death of the U.S. ambassador and three of his colleagues is a stark reminder of the challenges Libya still faces and should serve as a wake-up call for the authorities to urgently fill the security vacuum.
As a recent uptick in violence vividly illustrates, the fate of militias that ousted Qadhafi’s regime must be carefully addressed lest they jeopardise Libya’s transition.
The longer Libya’s military conflict persists, the more it risks undermining the anti-Qaddafi camp’s avowed objectives and the purpose claimed for NATO's intervention, that of protecting civilians.
Statement on a Political Deal for Libya, 12 December 2015.
The Libyan Political Dialogue: An Incomplete Consensus, 16 July 2015.
Libya: Ensuring a Smooth and Peaceful Transition into the Post-Qaddafi Era, 23 August 2011.
Achieving a Ceasefire, Moving toward Legitimate Government, 13 May 2011.
Open Letter to the UN Security Council on the Situation in Libya, 17 March 2011.
A Ceasefire and Negotiations the Right Way to Resolve the Libya Crisis, 10 March 2011.
Immediate International Steps Needed to Stop Atrocities in Libya, 22 Feb. 2011.
The Prize: Libya's Hydrocarbon Wealth
3 December 2015: In this video, our Senior Libya Analyst, Claudia Gazzini, explains the complex overlapping issues around the fight for Libya's energy wealth and how we went about researching the topic.
The Limits of the Islamic State in Libya
27 May 2015: After returning from the frontlines, Crisis Group's Libya Senior Analyst Claudia Gazzini speaks to our Director of Communications and Outreach Hugh Pope to report her major findings on the presence of the Islamic State in the country.
Libya's Elections under Threat
3 Jul 2012
Africa Report N°227, 25 June 2015
The Sahel’s trajectory is worrying; poverty and population growth, combined with growing jihadi extremism, contraband and human trafficking constitute the perfect storm of actual and potential instability. Without holistic, sustained efforts against entrenched criminal networks, misrule and underdevelopment, radicalisation and migration are likely to spread and exacerbate.
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