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8 actual or potential conflict situations around the world deteriorated in April, and 3 improved, according to CrisisWatch. Tensions between Georgia and Russia escalated sharply as Russia unilaterally moved additional peacekeepers into the breakaway region Abkhazia 1 May. The government of Zimbabwe launched a brutal countrywide campaign of violence and intimidation and continues to block results of 29 March elections. Burundi saw daily clashes between FNL rebels and the army grow fiercer, killing over 50. The situation also deteriorated in Somalia, Yemen, Haiti, Sri Lanka and Uganda. There was improvement in Nepal, where twice-postponed polls for a Constituent Assembly were successfully held 10 April. In Timor-Leste, rebel leader Gastão Salsinha surrendered 29 April. The situation also improved in Cyprus. For May, Burundi, Georgia and Zimbabwe are identified as Conflict Risk Alerts. Zimbabwe is a Conflict Resolution Opportunity.
Iraq after the Surge I: The New Sunni Landscape
30 April 2008
The U.S. military surge contributed to a significant reduction in violence but has reached the limit of what it can achieve. Without fundamental political changes in Iraq, success will remain fragile and dangerously reversible. The first of two companion reports, The New Sunni Landscape, describes the sweeping changes affecting Sunni tribes, al-Qaeda in Iraq and what remains of the insurgency.
Iraq after the Surge II: The Need for a New Political Strategy
30 April 2008
The U.S. military surge contributed to a significant reduction in violence but has reached the limit of what it can achieve. Without fundamental political changes in Iraq, success will remain fragile and dangerously reversible. The second of two companion reports, The Need for a New Political Strategy, analyses reasons for the current deadlock and suggests a way forward.
Recent reports & briefings
- Colombia: Making Military Progress Pay Off, Latin America Briefing N°17, 29 April 2008
- Restoring Democracy in Bangladesh, Asia Report N°151, 28 April 2008
- Will the Real Serbia Please Stand Up?, Europe Briefing N°49, 23 April 2008
- Côte d’Ivoire: Ensuring Credible Elections, Africa Report N°139, 22 April 2008
- Kyrgyzstan: The Challenge of Judicial Reform, Asia Report N°150, 10 April 2008
- Armenia: Picking up the Pieces, Europe Briefing N°48, 8 April 2008
- Nepal’s Election and Beyond, Asia Report N°149, 2 April 2008
- CrisisWatch N°56, 1 April 2008, CrisisWatch N°56, 1 April 2008
- Timor-Leste’s Displacement Crisis, Asia Report N°148, 31 March 2008
- Azerbaijan: Independent Islam and the State, Europe Report N°191, 25 March 2008
The International Crisis Group (Crisis Group) is an independent, non-profit, non-governmental organisation, with some 145 staff members on five continents, working through field-based analysis and high-level advocacy to prevent and resolve deadly conflict.
