India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi walks after taking an oath during a swearing-in ceremony at the presidential palace in New Delhi, India, June 9, 2024.

India’s Modi Stays in Power, but Weakened

The ruling Bharatiya Janata Party remains in the driver’s seat following the Indian elections, but it has lost its majority in parliament. In this Q&A, Crisis Group expert Praveen Donthi explores the implications for New Delhi’s domestic and foreign policies.

Conflict Tracker
View Latest Edition

map CW May

CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, an early warning tool designed to help prevent deadly violence. It keeps decision-makers up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises every month, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace. In addition, CrisisWatch monitors over 50 situations (“standby monitoring”) to offer timely information if developments indicate a drift toward violence or instability. Entries dating back to 2003 provide easily searchable conflict histories.

Learn more about CrisisWatch

Trends for Last Month May 2024

Improved Situations


Outlook for This Month June 2024

Resolution Opportunities


The ceasefire deal the U.S. has tabled represents the best – and perhaps last – hope for both ending the Gaza war and getting the hostages held in the strip back any time soon. Israeli and Hamas leaders should accept it.

The gruelling war in Ukraine continues, with Russian forces creeping forward amid fierce fighting. To stop Russia’s immediate momentum and withstand its assault, Kyiv and its backers will need to move quickly to fix problems that have hindered the Ukrainian effort to date.

In The News

31 May 2024
Myanmar’s ethnic armed groups are securing on the battlefield the autonomous homelands they have long sought. Al Jazeera

Richard Horsey

Senior Adviser, Myanmar
31 May 2024
The tensions between Egypt and Israel on the Gaza border are effectively fuelling tensions between the U.S. and Egypt. Middle East Eye

Riccardo Fabiani

Project Director, North Africa
31 May 2024
[UN Security] Council members now seem resigned to the fact that many states which have hosted UN missions for a long time want them gone. AFP

Richard Gowan

UN Director
28 May 2024
For too long, allies clung to magical thinking about Russia's weakness and Ukraine's ability to force the Kremlin into talks with battlefield success. Newsweek

Alissa de Carbonnel

Deputy Program Director, Europe and Central Asia
28 May 2024
You can’t help but watch the level of focus on … Gaza and Ukraine and wonder what just 5 percent of that energy could have done in a context like Sudan. Foreign Policy

Alan Boswell

Project Director, Horn of Africa

Support Us

Your investment helps us to meet the growing demand for our work as we confront a terrible trend toward more wars, more civilians killed and more people displaced worldwide.

Donate now Learn What We Do

Subscribe to Crisis Group’s Email Updates

Receive the best source of conflict analysis right in your inbox.