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Africa

CrisisWatch Africa

CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, a tool designed to help decision-makers prevent deadly violence by keeping them up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace.

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Trends for Last Month December 2018

Improved Situations

none

Outlook for This Month January 2019

Conflict Risk Alerts

Democratic Republic of Congo

Resolution Opportunities

none

President's Take

Out with the Old Year, Omens for the New

Contributor

President & CEO
Rob_Malley

In his introduction to this month's edition of CrisisWatch, Crisis Group's conflict tracker, our President Robert Malley sees indicators of escalation in Somalia, Sudan and Syria, and possible signs of conflict mitigation in Afghanistan, Armenia and Yemen.

View latest updates

Reports & Briefings

In The News

4 Jan 2019
[Sudan's President] Bashir has faced down protests before, but what’s clear is that the economy has reached a tipping point and the masses have been pushed to the edge. The Financial Times

Murithi Mutiga

Deputy Project Director, Horn of Africa
19 Dec 2018
This is a critical moment for IGAD and the peace process. The response to these early violations will set the tone for the rest of the peace implementation. Reuters

Alan Boswell

Senior Analyst, South Sudan
29 Nov 2018
Washington was never willing to take a hard line with Uganda on South Sudan. This was the biggest missed opportunity to halt the war early. Washington Post

Alan Boswell

Senior Analyst, South Sudan
21 Nov 2018
Ordinary Zimbabweans are paying for the excesses of a venal predatory elite not being held to account. Washington Post

Piers Pigou

Senior Consultant, Southern Africa
12 Oct 2018
Seeking the leadership of the Francophonie is clearly part of Rwanda's goal for a greater continental and global role. France 24

Elissa Jobson

Head of Africa Regional Advocacy
3 Oct 2018
The fact that some of the recent attacks [in Nigeria] specifically targeted military bases shows they were deliberate, not opportunistic. Bloomberg

Nnamdi Obasi

Senior Adviser, Nigeria

Latest Updates

Statement / Africa

DR Congo: A Recount and Talks to Find a Way Out of the Crisis

The DR Congo is facing a major political crisis over the 30 December election’s result. A recount would allow subsequent negotiations to take place on the basis of a clear understanding of who won.

Statement / Africa

Need for International Unity as DR Congo Awaits Electoral Results

The Democratic Republic of Congo awaits the official results of 30 December 2018 elections, amid hints that unofficial numbers show an opposition presidential candidate winning. Conflicting tallies could spark violence. Outside powers should stand together in urging calm and careful verification of the electoral outcome.

Also available in Français
Statement / Africa

DR Congo Elections: Reversing a Dangerous Decision

After postponing long-awaited elections, the Democratic Republic of Congo's electoral commission has announced a second delay in voting in some conflict-affected areas – until after a new president takes office. This decision disenfranchises 1.25 million Congolese and risks major unrest. The commission should rescind it. 

Also available in Français
Commentary / Africa

Somalia’s South West State: A New President Installed, a Crisis Inflamed

Against all sensible advice, the Federal Government of Somalia muscled in on a local election to shove aside an Islamist conservative candidate. It scored a tactical victory but created significant additional risk for the country already wracked by conflict and divided along regional and clan lines.

Commentary / Africa

South Sudan: Peace on Paper

15 December 2018 marks the fifth anniversary of South Sudan's civil war. To ensure that September’s peace agreement does not meet the fate of previous failed attempts at peace, a broader political settlement that shares power across the country’s groups and regions is needed.

Our People

Comfort Ero

Program Director, Africa
EroComfort

EJ Hogendoorn

Deputy Program Director, Africa
ejhogendoorn

Richard Moncrieff

Project Director, Central Africa
richmoncrieff

Rinaldo Depagne

Senior Adviser Africa & Project Director West Africa

Rashid Abdi

Project Director, Horn of Africa
RAbdiCG

Jean-Hervé Jezequel

Director, Sahel Project
jhjezequel

Nnamdi Obasi

Senior Adviser, Nigeria
NnamdiObasi

Elissa Jobson

Head of Africa Regional Advocacy
ElissaJobson