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Horn of Africa

CrisisWatch
Conflict Tracker Horn of Africa
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Trends for Last Month March 2021

Deteriorated Situations

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Outlook for This Month April 2021

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Contributor

Interim President
atwoodr

In his introduction to this month’s CrisisWatch, Interim President Richard Atwood reflects on the pandemic’s impact one year after Crisis Group published its first report on COVID-19 and conflict. 

Read President's Take

Reports & Briefings

In The News

12 Dec 2020
Because of improving relations, the Eritrean government has gained more ability to influence the Ethiopian government not to be a host for dissidents. AFP

William Davison

Senior Analyst, Ethiopia
6 Oct 2020
The military [...] simply has not had the time nor shown the will to address violence in the way that many rural Sudanese would need to see in order to put down their weapons. AFP

Jonas Horner

Deputy Project Director, Horn of Africa & Senior Analyst, Sudan
1 Oct 2020
Sudan’s economy is in freefall and there has been limited international assistance. Al-Jazeera

Jonas Horner

Deputy Project Director, Horn of Africa & Senior Analyst, Sudan
2 Sep 2020
Ethiopia will not be deterred from finishing GERD by U.S. aid cuts and nor will it change its negotiating stance. Bloomberg

William Davison

Senior Analyst, Ethiopia
26 Aug 2020
Sudan has been pretty isolated for a long time. It is very keen to get off this [terror] list. This is the carrot. Financial Times

Jonas Horner

Deputy Project Director, Horn of Africa & Senior Analyst, Sudan
18 Aug 2020
Ethiopian political leaders should consider appealing to a third party to mediate, should they have exhausted all other opportunities. Deutsche Welle

William Davison

Senior Analyst, Ethiopia

Latest Updates

Podcast / Africa

Tanzania's Opposition Leader Tundu Lissu on Politics after Magufuli

This week on The Horn, Alan Boswell is joined by Tanzania’s main opposition leader, Tundu Lissu, to discuss the late President Magufuli’s legacy, the challenges ahead for the newly sworn-in President Samia Suluhu Hassan, and the future of democracy in the country.

Podcast / Africa

What Does Reconciliation among Gulf States Mean for Africa?

This week on The Horn, Alan Boswell is joined by Crisis Group’s Senior Analyst for Gulf States, Elham Fakhro, to discuss what the recent accord between the Gulf countries means for their geopolitical rivalries in the Horn of Africa.

Op-Ed / Africa

Why the World’s Newest Country Has Only Known Conflict

Few nations have seen their dreams and hopes dashed as quickly and ruthlessly as South Sudan. As the country approaches its 10-year anniversary, the risk of a return to full-blown conflict is never far away.

Originally published in World Politics Review

Alert / Africa

A Last Chance to End Somalia’s Dangerous Election Impasse

Clashes in Mogadishu following the expiry of the president’s term highlight the risks of the standoff between the federal government and the opposition over electoral preparations. To avert a further breakdown, the African Union and UN should quickly step in to mediate. 

Our People

Grace Njuguna

HR Officer and Office Manager

Zakaria Yusuf

Analyst, Somalia

Murithi Mutiga

Project Director, Horn of Africa
mutigam

Alan Boswell

Senior Analyst, South Sudan
alanboswell

William Davison

Senior Analyst, Ethiopia
wdavison10

Meron Elias

Researcher, Horn of Africa
Meron_El

Jonas Horner

Deputy Project Director, Horn of Africa & Senior Analyst, Sudan

Omar Mahmood

Senior Analyst, Somalia
omarsmahmood