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Horn of Africa

CrisisWatch
Conflict Tracker Horn of Africa
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Trends for Last Month April 2022

Deteriorated Situations

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Improved Situations

Somalia

Outlook for This Month May 2022

Conflict Risk Alerts

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Resolution Opportunities

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Reports & Briefings

In The News

15 Apr 2022
The swearing-in of MPs [in Somalia] is certainly a major step whose significance goes beyond symbolism. Irish Times

Omar Mahmood

Senior Analyst, Somalia
12 Jan 2022
The fact that the Tigrayans [in Ethiopia] are making suggestions for a negotiated settlement involving forceful international action is ... positive, but these are ultimately unrealistic proposals. Financial Times

William Davison

Senior Analyst, Ethiopia
12 Jan 2022
As long as the election cycle and current tensions [in Somalia] drag on, the attention of the political elite will be more inwardly focused, while other priorities lag behind. The New York Times

Omar Mahmood

Senior Analyst, Somalia
27 Dec 2021
When the political elite [in Somalia] are focused on each other, attention turns away from the battle against al-Shabab. The Washington Post

Omar Mahmood

Senior Analyst, Somalia
19 Dec 2021
If [Ethiopian President] Abiy survives the conflict in power, he will likely be thankful to Beijing and Moscow for protecting him at the UN during the war. South China Morning Post

Richard Gowan

UN Director
14 Dec 2021
If [Kenyan President] Kenyatta can achieve a ceasefire that potentially stops a catastrophic confrontation among warring actors in Ethiopia, that would give him quite an extraordinary win. The New Statesman

Murithi Mutiga

Program Director, Africa

Latest Updates

CrisisWatch Digest Somalia

The CrisisWatch Digest Somalia offers a monthly one-page snapshot of conflict-related country trends in a clear, accessible format, using a map of the region to pinpoint developments.

CrisisWatch Digest Ethiopia

The CrisisWatch Digest Ethiopia offers a monthly one-page snapshot of conflict-related country trends in a clear, accessible format, using a map of the region to pinpoint developments.

Podcast / Africa

A Vicious Cycle: Climate and Conflict in the Horn of Africa

This week on The Horn, guest host Nicolas Delaunay is joined by Nazanine Moshiri, Crisis Group’s climate & security expert, to discuss the complex, often dangerous relationship between climate stresses and conflict in the Horn and on the continent more broadly.

Briefing / Africa

South Sudan’s Splintered Opposition: Preventing More Conflict

Side deals between President Salva Kiir and renegade opposition leaders jeopardise the 2018 agreement that ended the worst fighting of South Sudan’s civil war. East African mediators should press the principal combatants – Kiir and Riek Machar – to restart talks on the issues that divide them.

Our People

Grace Njuguna

HR Officer and Office Manager

Zakaria Yusuf

Analyst, Somalia

Alan Boswell

Deputy Project Director, Horn of Africa
alanboswell

William Davison

Senior Analyst, Ethiopia
wdavison10

Meron Elias

Researcher, Horn of Africa
Meron_El

Omar Mahmood

Senior Analyst, Somalia
omarsmahmood