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Southern Africa

CrisisWatch Southern Africa

CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.

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Trends for Last Month January 2017

Deteriorated Situations

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Outlook for This Month February 2017

Conflict Risk Alerts

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Resolution Opportunities

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Reports & Briefings

In The News

19 Dec 2016
There does not appear to be any substantive disconnect what is stated [in the statement], and the process and content of the exploratory discussions around forging a collective approach. Daily News

Piers Pigou

Senior Consultant, Southern Africa
1 Nov 2016
It is only now, due to the economic fallout and the restrictions on imports, that South Africa is waking up to the situation [in Zimbabwe]. A hands-off approach has done little to avert the continued slide downwards. The Daily Maverick

Piers Pigou

Senior Consultant, Southern Africa
13 Oct 2016
[President Mugabe's economic plan] is moot and feeds speculation that this is part of a rhetorical dance to keep the international financial institutions interested in some form of re-engagement. Quartz Africa

Piers Pigou

Senior Consultant, Southern Africa
15 Sep 2016
It is clear Mugabe's capacities have diminished significantly, his ability to hold things together is doubtful. I don't think [he] has faced this kind of pressure before. AFP

Piers Pigou

Senior Consultant, Southern Africa
18 Aug 2016
The media have turned Pastor Evan [leader of the Zimbabwean protest movement #ThisFlag] into some kind of symbolic messiah, which he’s not. Daily Maverick

Piers Pigou

Senior Consultant, Southern Africa
15 Jul 2016
South Africa, in concert with international creditors should support Zimbabwe, but on condition of a genuine and inclusive reform process. There is little evidence of this at present, raising serious concerns that support will be manipulated to enable [the ruling Zanu-PF's] longevity as a priority over a genuine re-engagement and national recovery programme. This would also have acute long term negative repercussions for South Africa's economy which is already vulnerable to the vicissitudes of Zimbabwe's financial delinquency. Daily Maverick

Piers Pigou

Senior Consultant, Southern Africa

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Commentary / Africa

Mugabe’s Brittle By-election Victory Bodes Ill for Zimbabwe’s 2018 Elections

The ruling ZANU-PF is exploiting the many weaknesses of Zimbabwe’s electoral system to outpace the country’s divided opposition. Yet without a real change of policy, the country seems doomed to steeper decline.

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Piers Pigou

Senior Consultant, Southern Africa
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