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Avoiding a Military Showdown in the South China Sea
Avoiding a Military Showdown in the South China Sea
Thin Ice in the Himalayas: Handling the India-China Border Dispute
Thin Ice in the Himalayas: Handling the India-China Border Dispute
Table of Contents
  1. Executive Summary
  2. Introduction
  3. The Evolution of the Sino-Indian Border Crisis
    1. Postcolonial Pangs and Territorial Disputes
    2. The Road to Rapprochement
    3. China’s Rise and Resurgent Tensions
  4. The Era of Major-Power Competition
    1. The Indian Perspective
    2. The Chinese Perspective
    3. Defending the Borderlands
  5. A Downward Spiral: The 2020 Clash and Its Aftermath
    1. Changing Threat Perceptions
    2. Fighting in Galwan
    3. Interpreting the Clashes
  6. Managing the Fallout
    1. Washington, New Delhi and a Strained Relationship?
    2. Disengagement From Contested Areas
    3. Military Deployments
    4. Sources of Risk
  7. Recommendations
    1. Crisis Management and Conflict Prevention
    2. Containing Mutual Fears over Reinforcements
    3. Handling a Competitive Relationship
  8. Conclusion
Op-Ed / Asia 1 minute

Avoiding a Military Showdown in the South China Sea

The Hague’s looming decision on a Filipino challenge to Chinese claims could reverse the region’s collision course.

In the coming weeks, the Permanent Court of Arbitration at The Hague is expected to rule on a challenge to China’s extensive maritime claims in the South China Sea. The court is unlikely to decide in Beijing’s favor. But China has already refused to participate, calling the process “illegal,” and has pre-emptively rejected the judgement of the court. ... [continue reading]

The full version of this article first appeared in The Wall Street Journal.

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