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The Korean Peninsula Crisis (I): In the Line of Fire and Fury
The Korean Peninsula Crisis (I): In the Line of Fire and Fury
Table of Contents
  1. Executive Summary
  2. Introduction
  3. Pyongyang’s Nuclear Motives
    1. Strategic Goals and External Risks
    2. Challenges at Home
  4. Sabre Rattling from Washington
    1. Undeterrable North Korea and a U.S. That Hates Being Deterred
    2. “All Options on the Table”
  5. Seoul’s Shifting Calculations
    1. No Sunshine 2.0
    2. Not Masters of Their Own Fate
  6. Extent and Limits of Chinese Influence
    1. Three Nos, and Then Some
    2. How Far Can Beijing Go?
  7. Where Japan and Russia Stand
  8. Conclusion
  9. Appendix A: Maps of the Korean Peninsula
  10. Appendix B: Map of North East Asia
The Korean Peninsula Crisis (II): From Fire and Fury to Freeze-for-Freeze
The Korean Peninsula Crisis (II): From Fire and Fury to Freeze-for-Freeze
Table of Contents
  1. Executive Summary
  2. Introduction
  3. Limits of Economic Pressure
  4. Dangers of Belligerence
  5. The Costs of War
  6. A Way Out
  7. Conclusion
  8. Appendix A: Map of the Korean Peninsula
  9. Appendix B: Map of North East Asia
A Korean War memorial in Pyongyang, capital of the North Korea, with the newly built Victorious Fatherland Liberation War Museum in the background, in April 2016. CRISIS GROUP/Christopher Green
Report 293 / Asia

The Korean Peninsula Crisis (I): In the Line of Fire and Fury

A nightmarish Korean peninsula war is closer than at any time in recent history. In the first of a two-part series, Crisis Group examines the interests and calculations of the states most affected or involved: North Korea, the U.S., South Korea, China, Japan and Russia.

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