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South Asia

CrisisWatch South Asia

CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.

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Trends for Last Month December 2017

Deteriorated Situations

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Improved Situations

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Outlook for This Month January 2018

Conflict Risk Alerts

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Resolution Opportunities

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Reports & Briefings

In The News

16 Jan 2018
U.S. strategy [in Afghanistan] is so military-centric. Even 100,000 troops couldn’t finish the Taliban, and ever since those days, they have been zealously confident. The Washington Post
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Borhan Osman

Senior Analyst, Afghanistan
10 Jan 2018
It should not come as a surprise that some of the [Afghan] youth inculcated in the ideology of jihadism embrace the next version of jihadism, the most violent one. AFP
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Borhan Osman

Senior Analyst, Afghanistan
28 Dec 2017
Most of those blowing themselves up [in Kabul] are the young Salafis who are indoctrinated into jihadism and find in Islamic State a cool political ideology seeking to dominate the world. The New York Times
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Borhan Osman

Senior Analyst, Afghanistan
28 Dec 2017
[The Islamic State Khorasan Province's] 7th suicide bombing in [Kabul] since 20 October, killing 130 people in total, [makes] ISKP a larger threat in Kabul than Taliban for this period. The Guardian
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Borhan Osman

Senior Analyst, Afghanistan
23 Dec 2017
[The bombing of Afghanistan's drug labs] will solve neither the country’s Taliban insurgency nor its drugs problem. The Washington Post
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Borhan Osman

Senior Analyst, Afghanistan
4 Dec 2017
What distinguishes [the Taliban 'Special Forces Unit'] from other fighting units is its intensive and longer training, the degree of vetting, its tactics, weapons and equipment, and structure. Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty
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Borhan Osman

Senior Analyst, Afghanistan

Latest Updates

Report / Asia

Myanmar’s Rohingya Crisis Enters a Dangerous New Phase

The mass flight of Rohingya Muslims from Myanmar’s Rakhine State has created a humanitarian catastrophe and serious security risks, including potential cross-border militant attacks. The international community should press the Myanmar government to urgently implement the Annan commission’s proposals, including as regards discrimination, segregation and citizenship.

Op-Ed / Global

The International Criminal Court’s Case Against the United States in Afghanistan

In recent years, a confrontation between the U.S. government and the International Criminal Court (ICC) has been looming over the alleged actions of U.S. forces in Afghanistan. Crisis Group's U.S. Program Director Stephen Pomper unpicks the unique U.S.-ICC relationship and outlines the choices left open to Washington.

Originally published in Just Security

Video / Asia

Addressing Security Concerns to Advance Gender Equality in Pakistan

Addressing security concerns in Pakistan is vital for creating a more gender equal society. In this video, Crisis Group's South Asia Project Director Samina Ahmed highlights the need for measures geared toward enabling women to become more economically independent, such as safer public transport and a more gender-sensitive police force.

Report / Asia

Sri Lanka’s Transition to Nowhere

Fragile hopes for lasting peace and cooperation across party and ethnic lines are imperilled. To avoid leaders of the corrupt and violent former regime taking back control of the country, President Sirisena’s two-year-old “unity government” should put aside short-term calculations and return to reform.

Commentary / Asia

Afghanistan: Growing Challenges

Political fractures continue to weaken the Afghan National Unity Government as the Taliban insurgency expands and an Islamic State affiliate strengthens its foothold. In this excerpt from the Watch List 2017 – First Update early-warning report for European policy makers, Crisis Group urges the European Union and its member states to continue to provide technical support to the negotiating process and take measures to alleviate the humanitarian crisis.

Our People

Samina Ahmed

Project Director, South Asia and Senior Asia Adviser

Zaib Barlas

Former Operations Manager, Pakistan

Shehryar Fazli

Senior Analyst and Regional Editor, South Asia

Alan Keenan

Senior Analyst, Sri Lanka
akeenan23

Timor Sharan

Former Senior Analyst, Afghanistan
timorsharan

Borhan Osman

Senior Analyst, Afghanistan
Borhan