CrisisWatch

Tracking Conflict Worldwide

CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, a tool designed to help decision-makers prevent deadly violence by keeping them up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace.

Global Overview

Outlook for This Month March 2004

Conflict Risk Alerts

Resolution Opportunities

Trends for Last Month February 2004

This month's ICG bulletin on the world's conflicts noted deteriorating situations in ten countries in February. In particular, in Haiti, a rebel uprising caused President Aristide to resign and flee: the conflict has seen at least 80 killed since it began at the start of the month, and the UN Security Council has now resolved to send in peacekeepers. Nepal continued its downward slide in February, as the bitter power struggle between Maoist rebels, parliamentary political parties and King Gyanendra worsened. Fighting and slaughters intensified in Uganda as the rebel Lord's Resistance Army shot, burnt and hacked to death more than 200 civilians in refugee camps. Things also went backward in various ways in DR Congo, Guinea, Iran, Nigeria, Swaziland and Venezuela.

There were, by contrast, four crisis situations showing improvement. Peace talks got under way over Kashmir and resumed for North Korea. In Cyprus, long-awaited talks finally started between Turkish and Greek Cypriot leaders, offering renewed hope that the north and south of the island could be united before Cyprus enters the EU in May. And Liberia enjoyed welcome news in February as the donors conference in New York exceeded expectations by raising U.S. $520 million in pledges for the country's reconstruction.

For the forthcoming month, CrisisWatch identified Sudan as both a Conflict Risk Alert and Conflict Resolution Opportunity; with Haiti also seen as being at particular risk of further conflict, and Cyprus as having a good chance of resolving it.

CrisisWatch Digests