CrisisWatch

Tracking Conflict Worldwide

CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, a tool designed to help decision-makers prevent deadly violence by keeping them up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace.

Global Overview

Outlook for This Month February 2006

Conflict Risk Alerts

Resolution Opportunities

Trends for Last Month January 2006

Deteriorated Situations

Improved Situations

Six conflict situations around the world deteriorated in January 2006, according to the new issue of CrisisWatch,* released today. Nepal’s political turmoil continued ahead of planned 8 February municipal elections and amid a major escalation in violence between security forces and Maoists. The situation in Sri Lanka is approaching outright civil war: January was the deadliest month since the signing of the 2002 ceasefire. Côte d’Ivoire was shaken by four days of violent rioting. Security deteriorated in Nigeria with a series of apparently politically motivated attacks on oil production in the Delta region. Kyrgyzstan’s breakdown gathered force as a string of political murders continued. Tensions over Iran’s nuclear program increased with Tehran’s breaking of UN seals on three nuclear research facilities and subsequent international efforts to refer Iran to the UN Security Council.

Three conflict situations showed improvement in January 2006. Somalia’s peace process saw a breakthrough with the signing of the Aden declaration in Yemen on 5 January uniting rival factions of the transitional government. There was cautious optimism for Liberia after the inauguration of Ellen Johnson-Sirleaf as president. And Kuwait became the first Gulf state to democratically replace a leader using a constitutional process.

For February 2006, CrisisWatch identifies Nepal and Sri Lanka as Conflict Risk Alerts, or situations at particular risk of new or significantly escalated conflict in the coming month. Conflict Resolution Opportunities are identified in Northern Ireland and Sri Lanka.

CrisisWatch Digests

Burundi