CrisisWatch

Tracking Conflict Worldwide

CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, an early warning tool designed to help prevent deadly violence. It keeps decision-makers up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises every month, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace. In addition, CrisisWatch monitors over 50 situations (“standby monitoring”) to offer timely information if developments indicate a drift toward violence or instability. Entries dating back to 2003 provide easily searchable conflict histories.

Global Overview

Outlook for This Month October 2022

Resolution Opportunities

Trends for Last Month September 2022

Improved Situations

Conflict in Focus

Our monthly conflict tracker warns of six conflict risk alerts in October.

  • Yemen faces the spectre of a return to full-scale fighting as efforts to extend the six-month-long UN-brokered truce faltered ahead of the 2 October deadline.
     
  • Russian President Putin pledged to annex Ukrainian territories, ordered partial military mobilisation and brandished nuclear threats, raising the risk of further conflict escalation.
     
  • Deadly clashes along the Armenia-Azerbaijan border spread deep into Armenian territory and could intensify in the coming weeks as negotiating positions harden.
     
  • The 1 October anniversary of the self-proclaimed Ambazonia Republic could pave the way for escalatory fighting between Anglophone separatists and security forces in Cameroon.

CrisisWatch spotlighted deteriorations in fourteen countries in September.

  • Political instability reached new heights in Burkina Faso as the second coup in 2022 ousted transitional President Lt. Col. Damiba amid rampant violence countrywide.
     
  • The death of a young woman in police custody in Iran sparked nationwide protests which authorities heavily repressed, leaving dozens dead.
     
  • Fighting between Myanmar’s military and the Arakan Army in Rakhine State resurged after a two-year pause, with fire landing in Bangladesh.
     
  • Deadly violence erupted along the disputed Tajikistan-Kyrgyzstan border, killing almost 100 people and forcing thousands to flee their homes.
     
  • In Haiti, gangs exploited the large-scale protests against Prime Minister Ariel Henry’s fuel price hike, exacerbating violence, blocking fuel supplies and straining public services.

We also highlighted one improvement.

  • India and China agreed to disengage their forces at one friction point along the undemarcated border.

Aside from the scores of conflict situations we usually assess, we tracked notable developments in September in Angola, Benin, Brazil, Kazakhstan, Moldova and Togo.

CrisisWatch Digests

Our CrisisWatch Digests offer a monthly one-page snapshot of conflict-related country trends in a clear, accessible format, using a map of the region to pinpoint developments.

For our most recent CrisisWatch Digests, please follow these links for EthiopiaLebanon and Somalia.

Israel/Palestine