CrisisWatch

Tracking Conflict Worldwide

CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, a tool designed to help decision-makers prevent deadly violence by keeping them up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace.

Global Overview

Outlook for This Month November 2004

Conflict Risk Alerts

Resolution Opportunities

Trends for Last Month October 2004

Conflict situations deteriorated in thirteen countries in October 2004 according to November's CrisisWatch bulletin. The 10 October election of Abdullahi Yusuf as president of Somalia proved divisive; clashes between Yusuf's Puntland territory and breakaway Somaliland killed over 100 on 30 October, with further violence likely. In Liberia, UN forces struggled to contain a flare-up in inter-communal fighting in Monrovia. Separatist violence in India’s northeast was the worst in years, leaving 73 dead in Assam and Nagaland. Ethnic conflict broke out in central China after a Han Chinese girl was killed by a Muslim Hui taxi driver; nearly 150 have been reported killed in subsequent violence. And tensions in southern Thailand increased after 79 protesters suffocated in police vans following their arrest for rioting. The situations in Cote d'Ivoire, Egypt, Guinea-Bissau, Haiti, Myanmar/Burma, Nigeria, Pakistan and Peru also deteriorated in October.

Six conflict situations showed improvement in October. The first ever direct presidential election in Afghanistan came off successfully, largely free of expected violence. The leader of Zimbabwe's opposition MDC party, Morgan Tsvangirai, was acquitted of trumped-up high treason charges. And Burundi's peace process took a significant step forward as five Tutsi parties dropped their opposition to the country's draft constitution. There was also improvement in the Basque Country (Spain), Colombia, and