CrisisWatch

Tracking Conflict Worldwide

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CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, a tool designed to help decision-makers prevent deadly violence by keeping them up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace.

Global Overview

Outlook for This Month December 2022

Conflict Risk Alerts

Resolution Opportunities

Trends for Last Month November 2022

Improved Situations

Our monthly conflict tracker highlights one conflict resolution opportunity and two conflict risks in December.

  • In Yemen, back-channel talks between the Huthis and Saudi Arabia could lead to a deal, albeit one that excludes the government and UN special envoy. Front-line skirmishes and Huthi threats against energy facilities could portend further escalation, including a high-profile regional attack.
     
  • Türkiye intensified strikes against Kurdish-led forces in Syria after the deadly Istanbul bombing, threatening a ground offensive in the north that would risk large-scale displacement, civilian casualties and an escalatory cycle of violence.

CrisisWatch highlights six deteriorations in November.

  • Political instability intensified in Pakistan as former Prime Minister Imran Khan blamed the government and intelligence officials for a botched assassination attempt and announced his party’s resignation from provincial legislatures.
     
  • In Israel-Palestine, dual bus stop bombings rocked Jerusalem as Israel conducted scores of raids in the West Bank, killing at least eighteen Palestinians. Israel’s incoming far-right government could adopt even more destabilising policies.
     
  • Violence surged in Ecuador’s coastal cities as criminal gangs attacked security forces in response to mass prisoner transfers, prompting a state of emergency in three provinces.
     
  • Suspected members of a pro-democracy militant group in Eswatini launched attacks on officials and public buildings across the country, leaving several dead.

We also spotlight improvements in three countries.

  • Ethiopia’s federal and Tigray leaders signed a peace deal to end the country’s devastating conflict, talks between Venezuela’s government and political opposition resumed after over a year on ice, and Kosovo reached a deal with Serbia to resolve their long-running licence plate dispute.

Aside from the conflict situations we usually assess, we tracked notable developments in November in Benin, Brazil, Ecuador, Kazakhstan, Rwanda and Togo.

CrisisWatch Digests

Our CrisisWatch Digests offer a monthly one-page snapshot of conflict-related country trends in a clear, accessible format, using a map of the region to pinpoint developments.

For our most recent CrisisWatch Digests, please follow these links for EthiopiaLebanon and Somalia.

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