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Middle East & North Africa

CrisisWatch
Conflict Tracker Middle East & North Africa
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Trends for Last Month May 2021

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Outlook for This Month June 2021

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Contributor

Interim President
atwoodr

In his monthly take ahead of CrisisWatch, Interim President Richard Atwood looks at recent diplomacy in the Middle East and prospects for assuaging two of the rivalries that have fuelled Arab wars over the past decade.

Read President's Take

Reports & Briefings

In The News

23 Jun 2021
The Libyan parliament and the executive were not able to drive the [peace] process forward alone. This was why tensions between rival groups had increased again in recent times. Al Jazeera

Claudia Gazzini

Consulting Senior Analyst, Libya
17 Jun 2021
I’m afraid if the deal is not restored by August, [...] a return to the JCPOA might become a moot question. At that point the parties would probably have to negotiate a new nuclear deal. The Hill

Ali Vaez

Senior Adviser to the President & Project Director, Iran
14 Jun 2021
Netanyahu was very eloquent. He didn’t actively seek war, he was cautious. As for Bennett, we don’t yet know. Could he drag Israel into new wars? Foreign Policy

Joost Hiltermann

Program Director, Middle East and North Africa
13 Jun 2021
For those who care about the Palestinian side, they see every Israeli government as similar, they feel like the occupation is going to continue regardless and it doesn’t matter who is the face of it. The New York Times

Elham Fakhro

Senior Analyst, Gulf States
2 Jun 2021
Successive [Iraqi] governments since the military victory over ISIS have failed to integrate the PMF. It has become a force in itself, pursuing its own interests. Al Jazeera

Lahib Higel

Senior Analyst, Iraq
24 May 2021
[In Palestine,] the option is either to engage with Hamas or an incredibly unrepresentative and defunct governing — somewhat of a governing — authority that holds absolutely no legitimacy. Associated Press

Tahani Mustafa

Analyst, West Bank

Latest Updates

L’Algérie de retour aux urnes

Le chef de l’Etat algérien, Abdelmadjid Tebboune, a convoqué des élections législatives anticipées qui se tiendront le 12 juin. Dans ce Q&A, l’expert de Crisis Group Michael Ayari explique pourquoi ce scrutin pourrait marquer l’entrée dans une nouvelle phase d’instabilité.

In Israel, Change Coalition Ousts Netanyahu, But Little Change Expected

A new Israeli government is set to replace long-serving Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. As Crisis Group expert Mairav Zonszein explains, however, not much but antipathy for the ex-premier holds the prospective cabinet together. It may well struggle to survive.

Jihadisme en Tunisie : éviter la recrudescence des violences

Malgré un net déclin de la violence jihadiste en Tunisie depuis 2016, le gouvernement maintient des mesures de lutte contre le terrorisme répressives et trop peu ciblées. Les autorités tunisiennes devraient opérer des réformes dans le domaine de la justice et de la sécurité afin d’éviter une recrudescence de la violence.

Also available in English, العربية

From War to Peace: The Challenges of Libya’s Transition (Online Event, 1st June 2021)

Online Event to discuss International Crisis Group’s fieldwork and recent report “Libya Turns the Page

What Does Hamas Want?

This week on Hold Your Fire!, Richard Atwood talks to Crisis Group expert Tareq Baconi about Hamas – the Palestinian militant movement governing Gaza – what it wants, how Palestinians view it and prospects for an end to violence while it rules Gaza.

Our People

Mairav Zonszein

Senior Analyst, Israel/Palestine
MairavZ

Tahani Mustafa

Analyst, West Bank

Joost Hiltermann

Program Director, Middle East and North Africa
JoostHiltermann

Dina Esfandiary

Senior Advisor, Middle East and North Africa
desfandiary

Michaël Béchir Ayari

Senior Analyst, Tunisia

Claudia Gazzini

Consulting Senior Analyst, Libya

Ali Vaez

Senior Adviser to the President & Project Director, Iran
AliVaez

Heiko Wimmen

Project Director, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon
heiko_wimmen