Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky (L) and US Vice President Kamala Harris shake give a joint press conference at the Munich Security Conference (MSC) in Munich, southern Germany on February 17, 2024.

Behind the Debate over U.S. Military Aid to Ukraine

Two years after Russia’s all-out invasion of Ukraine, Washington is struggling to maintain support for Kyiv. A new assistance package is stuck in Congress. In this Q&A, Crisis Group expert Sarah Harrison explains what is causing the holdup and what it could mean for the war. 

Conflict Tracker
View Latest Edition

CrisisWatch Map February Alerts January Trends

CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, an early warning tool designed to help prevent deadly violence. It keeps decision-makers up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises every month, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace. In addition, CrisisWatch monitors over 50 situations (“standby monitoring”) to offer timely information if developments indicate a drift toward violence or instability. Entries dating back to 2003 provide easily searchable conflict histories.

Learn more about CrisisWatch

Trends for Last Month Januar 2024

Improved Situations


Outlook for This Month January 1970

Conflict Risk Alerts

Haiti Israel/Palestine Lebanon Syria Yemen

Resolution Opportunities


Following Israel’s allegations that staff of the UN agency serving Palestinian refugees participated in the 7 October 2023 attack, several capitals paused or threatened to suspend their funding. In this Q&A, Crisis Group expert Daniel Forti explains why it is vital that they reverse course. 

This week on War & Peace, Olga talks with Samuel Charap, Senior Political Scientist at the RAND Corporation, about the prospect (or lack thereof) of negotiations to end the war in Ukraine, what diplomacy would look like and what role Kyiv’s Western supporters would play in facilitating it.

In The News

22 Febr. 2024
If the regional escalation [in the DRC] continues, we could find ourselves in a scenario like during the other Congo wars … More bombing means more displacement. The Economist

Onesphore Sematumba

Analyst, Democratic Republic of Congo and Burundi
21 Febr. 2024
The trend of violence against ex-combatants [in Colombia] is a strong deterrent to disarmament. AP

Elizabeth Dickinson

Senior Analyst, Colombia
21 Febr. 2024
The ICJ is a place where little countries can line up and leverage international law to constrain what big powers and their allies try to do. The New York Times

Richard Gowan

UN Director
16 Febr. 2024
The [Myanmar] military is clearly facing significant manpower shortages, which is why it is introducing a draft for the first time in its history. Reuters

Richard Horsey

Senior Adviser, Myanmar
14 Febr. 2024
The more isolated the Taliban becomes, the more they turn to China to replace the diplomatic weight the US previously provided. Al Jazeera

Ibraheem Bahiss

Analyst, Afghanistan
5 Febr. 2024
State presence [in Panama] overly focuses on border control and does not prioritise the protection of migrants. The Guardian

Bram Ebus


Regional Updates

Support Us

Your investment helps us to meet the growing demand for our work as we confront a terrible trend toward more wars, more civilians killed and more people displaced worldwide.

Donate now Learn What We Do

Subscribe to Crisis Group’s Email Updates

Receive the best source of conflict analysis right in your inbox.