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Africa

CrisisWatch Africa

CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, a tool designed to help decision-makers prevent deadly violence by keeping them up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace.

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Trends for Last Month May 2019

Improved Situations

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Outlook for This Month June 2019

Conflict Risk Alerts

SomaliaSudanBeninGuinea-Bissau

Resolution Opportunities

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President's Take

The Rising Risk of a U.S.-Iran War

Contributor

President & CEO
Rob_Malley

In his introduction to this month's edition of CrisisWatch, Crisis Group's conflict tracker, our President Robert Malley reflects on South Sudan, Ethiopia, Venezuela and the rising risk of a war between the U.S. and Iran.

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Reports & Briefings

In The News

24 Jun 2019
It doesn't appear to have been a concerted national coup attempt [in Ethiopia]. It's not obvious what the motivations were for anyone to assassinate the chief of staff. CBC

William Davison

Senior Analyst, Ethiopia
24 Jun 2019
Instead of benefiting from the fruits of democratic reforms, Ethiopia is currently dealing with instability from a very tricky transition. The Irish Times

William Davison

Senior Analyst, Ethiopia
5 Jun 2019
What is striking is that the protest movement’s support [in Sudan] is unprecedented, both very broad and very deep. Financial Times

Murithi Mutiga

Project Director, Horn of Africa
30 May 2019
Dialoguer [au Mali] pourrait permettre d’obtenir des cessez-le-feu locaux, donc de réduire la violence exercée contre les civils. Le Monde

Ibrahim Yahaya Ibrahim

Consulting Analyst, Sahel
28 May 2019
Massive unemployment [in Nigeria] has created a growing army of unemployed youth, vulnerable to recruitment in the criminal industry. BBC

Nnamdi Obasi

Senior Adviser, Nigeria
26 May 2019
Unless there’s some sort of agreement on a common vision for Ethiopia, there’s a danger that ethnic violence continues, and possibly gets much worse. Financial Times

William Davison

Senior Analyst, Ethiopia

Latest Updates

Report / Africa

Making the Central African Republic’s Latest Peace Agreement Stick

A deal to end six years of war in the Central African Republic could come unglued if not strengthened. The government should hold signatory armed groups accountable to criteria for improved behaviour and back local peace initiatives. Neighbours should push armed groups to cease provocations.

Also available in Français
Briefing / Africa

Averting Violence in Zanzibar’s Knife-edge Election

Next year’s elections in Zanzibar, the semi-autonomous Tanzanian archipelago, will be hard fought. With the ruling party changing the rules in its favour, they could turn violent. The islands’ politicians should urgently meet to discuss levelling the playing field and lowering the risk of clashes.

Statement / Africa

Sudan: Stopping a Spiral into Civil War

Sudan’s political transition is in great peril following the unprovoked killing of dozens of protesters. The African Union has rightly suspended the country’s membership. Western and Gulf powers should take urgent steps to compel Sudan’s interim leaders to accept a civilian-led transitional administration. 

Report / Africa

Speaking with the “Bad Guys”: Toward Dialogue with Central Mali’s Jihadists

War between the state and jihadists in central Mali has led to growing intercommunal violence. To spare civilians additional harm, the government should explore the possibility of talks with the insurgents about local ceasefires and humanitarian aid – while remaining open to broader discussions.

Also available in Français

Our People

Comfort Ero

Program Director, Africa
EroComfort

Richard Moncrieff

Project Director, Central Africa
richmoncrieff

Rinaldo Depagne

Senior Adviser Africa & Project Director West Africa

Jean-Hervé Jezequel

Director, Sahel Project
jhjezequel

Nnamdi Obasi

Senior Adviser, Nigeria
NnamdiObasi

Elissa Jobson

Head of Africa Regional Advocacy
ElissaJobson

Piers Pigou

Senior Consultant, Southern Africa
PiersPigou

Thibaud Lesueur

Consulting Senior Analyst, Central Africa