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Africa

CrisisWatch
Conflict Tracker Africa
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Trends for Last Month September 2021

Deteriorated Situations

BurundiSomaliaSudanGuinea

Improved Situations

none

Outlook for This Month October 2021

Conflict Risk Alerts

CameroonSomaliaSudan

Resolution Opportunities

none

Reports & Briefings

In The News

15 Oct 2021
[The] completion of Sudan’s transition to a civilian government would imperil the military’s tight hold over the economy and its impunity over abuses during and after the Bashir years. Al-Monitor

Jonas Horner

Deputy Project Director, Horn of Africa & Senior Analyst, Sudan
13 Oct 2021
Given the current situation [in Ethiopia] and the likelihood of continued fighting, particularly in the Amhara region, I think we are likely to see the U.S. implement targeted sanctions soon. The National

William Davison

Senior Analyst, Ethiopia
13 Sep 2021
Unfortunately, while in much of the world 9/11 is viewed as in the past, in Africa, the legacy of those attacks lives on. The World

Murithi Mutiga

Project Director, Horn of Africa
27 Aug 2021
If France is to withdraw [from the Sahel] in a drastic manner as the U.S. did [from Afghanistan], the balance of power is likely to shift in favor of the jihadists. Washington Post

Ibrahim Yahaya Ibrahim

Consulting Analyst, Sahel
22 Aug 2021
Maybe this is a mistake. But the French are downsizing, they’re not withdrawing [from the Sahel]. They’re still the biggest military force in the region. VOA

Jean-Hervé Jezequel

Director, Sahel Project
9 Aug 2021
There is still no sign of a broader reset in South Sudanese politics [...] instead, the divisions just keep mounting. New York Times

Alan Boswell

Senior Analyst, South Sudan

Latest Updates

Special Coverage / Africa

Summary of Co-Chairs’ Conclusions

On 14 September 2021 Crisis Group, Africa Confidential and the Royal African Society co-hosted the Climate, Conflict and Demography in Africa conference. In this summary, its co-chairs highlight five messages to help one of the hardest-hit and most neglected continents in the fight against climate change.

Q&A / Africa

La mort du chef de l’Etat islamique au Grand Sahara : une occasion de dialogue ?

Les autorités françaises ont annoncé, le mois dernier, la mort d’Adnan Abou Walid al-Sahraoui, fondateur et chef de l’Etat islamique au Grand Sahara (EIGS). Dans ce Q&A, Ibrahim Yahaya Ibrahim et Jean-Hervé Jezequel expliquent comment sa disparition pourrait ouvrir un espace propice au dialogue entre certains commandants locaux de l’EIGS et les gouvernements sahéliens.

Also available in English
Podcast / Africa

Cameroon's Forgotten Anglophone Conflict

In this episode of Hold Your Fire!, Richard Atwood and Naz Modirzadeh talk with Arrey Elvis Ntui, Crisis Group’s Cameroon expert, about a deadly separatist insurgency pitting Anglophone militants against the Cameroonian government that is almost five years old but garners little international attention.

Special Coverage / Africa

CrisisWatch Digest Somalia

The CrisisWatch Digest Somalia offers a monthly one-page snapshot of conflict-related country trends in a clear, accessible format, using a map of the region to pinpoint developments.

Special Coverage / Africa

CrisisWatch Digest Ethiopia

The CrisisWatch Digest Ethiopia offers a monthly one-page snapshot of conflict-related country trends in a clear, accessible format, using a map of the region to pinpoint developments.

Our People

Comfort Ero

Interim Vice President & Program Director, Africa
EroComfort

Rinaldo Depagne

Deputy Program Director, Africa & Project Director, West Africa

Jean-Hervé Jezequel

Director, Sahel Project
jhjezequel

Nnamdi Obasi

Senior Adviser, Nigeria
NnamdiObasi

Piers Pigou

Senior Consultant, Southern Africa
PiersPigou

Thibaud Lesueur

Senior Analyst, Chad

Hans De Marie Heungoup

Senior Analyst, Central Africa

Zakaria Yusuf

Analyst, Somalia