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Europe & Central Asia

CrisisWatch
Conflict Tracker Europe & Central Asia
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Trends for Last Month November 2021

Deteriorated Situations

ArmeniaAzerbaijanBelarus

Improved Situations

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Outlook for This Month December 2021

Conflict Risk Alerts

Ukraine

Resolution Opportunities

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Reports & Briefings

In The News

24 Oct 2021
Now Russia can argue that Western policies failed in Libya, Syria and now Afghanistan so badly that Russia's approach has actually been correct all along. CNN

Oleg Ignatov

Senior Analyst, Russia
1 Sep 2021
For the Ukrainians, especially in the wake of the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, they want a clear statement of support from the United States. VOA

Olga Oliker

Program Director, Europe and Central Asia
28 Jul 2021
Ukraine doesn’t have a lot of equal relationships. This is the danger of being a weaker country in the international system. RFE/RL

Olga Oliker

Program Director, Europe and Central Asia
11 Jul 2021
Turkey can't afford economically or politically to absorb a new wave of refugees [from Syria]. AFP

Dareen Khalifa

Senior Analyst, Syria
17 Jun 2021
This is exactly what the Kremlin wants. To talk to the US as equals and in such a way that the other side does not demand a change of position as a condition of dialogue. CNN

Oleg Ignatov

Senior Analyst, Russia
13 Jun 2021
How do you not lose Turkey while you try to curb Erdogan? Erdogan is trying to find a way forward when they are trying to make sure he does not score political points. The New York Times

Nigar Göksel

Project Director, Turkey

Latest Updates

Podcast / Europe & Central Asia

One Year On from the Ceasefire in Nagorno-Karabakh

This week on War & Peace, Olga Oliker and Hugh Pope talk to Crisis Group’s South Caucasus expert Olesya Vartanyan about the conflict in and over Nagorno-Karabakh, a year on from a Russian-brokered ceasefire that put an end to renewed large-scale fighting between Armenia and Azerbaijan.

German Foreign Policy After Merkel

This week on War & Peace, Hugh Pope and Olga Oliker talk to foreign policy expert Jana Puglierin about the future of Germany’s place in the world as a new chancellor prepares to take over from Angela Merkel. 

Europe’s Balancing Act in Western Sahara

Hugh Pope is joined by North Africa experts Intissar Fakir and Riccardo Fabiani to ask whether Morocco holds a winning hand in its conflict with the pro-independence Polisario Front in Western Sahara as Europe looks on timidly, wary of direct challenges to the regional power. 

Virtual Roundtable: What Happens After Nicaragua's One-sided Poll? (Online Event, 13th October 2021)

This virtual roundtable assesses the risks of turmoil and political violence, the aggravation of the country’s humanitarian predicament resulting in a surge of emigration and its significance for the region’s democratic backslide.

Our People

Olga Oliker

Program Director, Europe and Central Asia
OlyaOliker

Nigar Göksel

Project Director, Turkey
nigargoksel

Berkay Mandıracı

Analyst, Turkey
BerkayMANDIRACI

Katharine Quinn-Judge

Consulting Senior Analyst, Ukraine
kquinnjudge

Olesya Vartanyan

Senior Analyst, South Caucasus
olesya_vart

Alçay Akay

Office Manager, Turkey

Zaur Shiriyev

Analyst, South Caucasus
ZaurShiriyev

Marko Prelec

Consulting Senior Analyst, Balkans
mprelec