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On Our Radar

On Our Radar scans conflicts and crises around the globe every week and features some of the hotspots Crisis Group's analysts are closely watching. Whether an under-reported trend or a headline-grabbing development, our field experts explain why it matters or what should be done. 

Event Recording / Africa

Nord de la Côte d’Ivoire: comment éradiquer la menace jihadiste ? (événement en ligne, 23 novembre 2023)

Dans cet événement en ligne, nous avons exploré les enjeux sécuritaires concernant le nord de la Côte d’Ivoire.

Event Recording / Asia

A Himalayan Rivalry and the Future of India-China Relations (Online Event, 22 November 2023)

In this online event, Crisis Group experts discuss the past, present and future of India-China relations.

Podcast / Africa

Après six mois de guerre au Soudan, le Darfour au bord du désastre

Dans cet épisode d’Afrique 360, Enrica Picco reçoit Jérôme Tubiana, conseiller de Médecins Sans Frontières sur les questions des réfugiés, pour parler de la guerre qui ravage le Soudan depuis plus de six mois et de ses retombées dans  la région, notamment au Tchad. Ils évoquent la crise humanitaire et migratoire et les affrontements ethniques au Darfour.

No Exit From Gaza

Why Israel—and the United States—Has Only Bad Options for the Day After

Also available in العربية
Podcast / Europe & Central Asia

Time to Talk? Assessing the Plausibility of Negotiations in the Russo-Ukrainian War

This week on War & Peace, Olga talks with Samuel Charap, Senior Political Scientist at the RAND Corporation, about the prospect (or lack thereof) of negotiations to end the war in Ukraine, what diplomacy would look like and what role Kyiv’s Western supporters would play in facilitating it.

VIDEO | Trapped in the Gap: Migrants and Smugglers in the Darién

In this video, personal narratives from migrants, smugglers, and locals shed light on the perilous journey through the Darién Gap, a treacherous migration route between Central and South America marked by criminal control.

Q&A / Asia

A New Escalation of Armed Conflict in Myanmar

Fighting has intensified greatly in Myanmar in recent weeks. Having started in northern Shan State, it is now spreading elsewhere. As Crisis Group expert Richard Horsey explains in this Q&A, the military is under significant pressure on the battlefield, with worrying humanitarian implications.

Will There Be a Day After for Gaza?

This week on Hold Your Fire!, Richard is joined by Crisis Group experts Tahani Mustafa and Heiko Wimmen and USMEP President Daniel Levy to discuss Israeli operations in Gaza, rising violence in the West Bank and escalation risks on the Israel-Lebanon border.

Op-Ed / United States

Is Washington Responsible for What Israel Does With American Weapons?

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) Conduct in Gaza Should Prompt Scrutiny of U.S. Arms Transfers.

Podcast / Africa

End of One War, Start of Another in Ethiopia

This week on The Horn, Alan speaks with Michael Woldemariam, associate professor at the University of Maryland, about the new crisis engulfing Ethiopia’s Amhara region and escalating tensions between Ethiopia and Eritrea.

Will the Israel-Hamas War Spread?

Few conflicts involve just two actors, and the Israel-Hamas war is no exception. From Iran and its proxies to the Palestinians’ Arab backers, as well as Turkey, governments throughout the Middle East are carefully calculating how to respond to the conflict.

Briefing / Africa

Ethiopia’s Ominous New War in Amhara

A rebellion in the Amhara region risks plunging Ethiopia into wider conflict. The federal government should seek talks with the militants as part of efforts to resolve the country’s interlocking crises. Outside powers should keep nudging Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed to take this conciliatory tack.

Report / Asia

Thin Ice in the Himalayas: Handling the India-China Border Dispute

Frictions along the India-China frontier have heated up following a burst of fighting in 2020, the first in decades. The danger of more will lurk as long as the countries disagree over where the line lies. Both should take steps to manage the mounting risks.

Also available in 简体中文
Report / Asia

喜马拉雅上的薄冰:应对中印边界争端

2020年爆发数十年来的首次冲突,加剧了中印边境的摩擦。 只要两国对边界线依然存在分歧,就会潜伏着更多冲突的危险。 双方应该采取措施来管理日益增加的风险

Also available in English

Media Quotes 13 November

Q&A / Asia

Pakistan’s Mass Deportation of Afghans Poses Risks to Regional Stability

Pakistan has started repatriations that could force millions of Afghans back to their crisis-wracked home country. As Crisis Group expert Ibraheem Bahiss explains in this Q&A, the policy could bring further trouble to the region, notwithstanding Islamabad’s efforts to justify itself on security grounds.

Understanding the Risks of U.S.-Iran Escalation amid the Gaza Conflict

Terrible as the Gaza war’s toll has already been, it would get worse if sustained fighting were to erupt between the U.S. and Iran or its Middle East allies. Crisis Group experts Brian Finucane, Lahib Higel, Naysan Rafati and Ali Vaez lay out the dangers.

Also available in العربية
Podcast / Africa

Sudan’s Collapse and the Demise of Peacemaking

This week on Hold Your Fire!, Richard is joined by Crisis Group’s experts Shewit Woldemichael and Alan Boswell to discuss the recent advances of the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces in Sudan’s Darfur region and what to expect from the resumption of talks between Sudan’s warring factions in the Saudi city Jeddah.

مخاطر التصعيد الأميركي–الإيراني في ظل حرب غزة

مهما كانت حصيلة حرب غزة مروِّعة حتى الآن، فإنها ستصبح أسوأ إذا اندلع قتال مستمر بين الولايات المتحدة وإيران أو حلفائها في الشرق الأوسط. فيما يلي، يعرض خبراء مجموعة الأزمات برايان فينوكين، ولهيب هيغل، ونيسان رافاتي وعلي فايز هذه المخاطر.

Also available in English

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CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, an early warning tool designed to help prevent deadly violence. It keeps decision-makers up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises every month, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace. In addition, CrisisWatch monitors over 50 situations ("standby monitoring") to offer timely information if developments indicate a drift toward violence or instability. Entries dating back to 2003 provide easily searchable conflict histories.

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Crisis Group's Claudia Gazzini speaks with an oil engineer loyal to Ibrahim Jathran outside of Zueitina, one of the oil ports under Jathran's control and among those shut down since summer 2013, March 2014. CRISIS GROUP
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Crisis Group Board member, Mo Ibrahim, and Crisis Group’s Africa Program Director, Comfort Ero, speaking at the event, The Changing Face of Conflict, 27 April 2015. CRISIS GROUP/Don Pollard
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