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Reports & Briefings

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Report / Europe & Central Asia

Central Asia’s Silk Road Rivalries

China and Russias separate visions for Central Asia could transform the region’s political and economic landscape as well as relations between the two Eurasian giants. To the smaller, embryonic Central Asian nation states, the new geopolitical realities could offer both economic prosperity as well as worsening instability and conflict.

Also available in Русский, 简体中文
Report / Africa

China’s Foreign Policy Experiment in South Sudan

China, traditionally averse to intervening abroad, is testing the role of peacebuilder in South Sudan, where it has unique leverage. This could portend a growing global security role, but further Chinese engagement will likely be tempered by self-interest, capacity constraints and aversion to risk.

Also available in 简体中文
Report / Asia

East China Sea: Preventing Clashes from Becoming 
Crises

Dangerous aerial and naval encounters are rising as China and Japan spar over disputed islands in the East China Sea. A promising reconciliation process has floundered. To prevent an accident tipping the dispute into open hostility, both sides urgently need a credible crisis management protocol to insulate any negotiations from their broader rivalry.

Report / Asia

Stirring up the South China Sea (IV): Oil in Troubled Waters

The race for hydrocarbon reserves in the South China Sea is aggravating conflicting territorial claims. The regional players need cooperation, yet have increasingly open confrontations at sea. For peaceful joint energy development, all parties need to stop acting unilaterally and do more to understand the others’ goals and limitations.

Also available in 简体中文
Report / Asia

Stirring up the South China Sea (III): A Fleeting Opportunity for Calm

The South China Sea is the cockpit of geopolitics in East Asia, and growing tensions pose a serious threat to stability in the region. China and ASEAN must take advantage of the currently favourable environment to establish new codes of crisis management, especially at sea, to withstand any new conflicts.

Also available in 简体中文
Report / Asia

Old Scores and New Grudges: Evolving Sino-Japanese Tensions

The deterioration in relations between China and Japan has spiraled beyond an island sovereignty dispute and risks an armed conflict neither wants. A November regional summit is a fence-mending opportunity – if the two countries’ leaders rise above nationalism and manage multiple flashpoints.

Also available in 简体中文
Report / Asia

Fire on the City Gate: Why China Keeps North Korea Close

North Korea’s belligerent behaviour is testing the patience of China, its principal backer, but a consequential Chinese policy change, which the U.S. and its allies hope for, is not likely soon. 

Also available in 简体中文
Report / Asia

Dangerous Waters: China-Japan Relations on the Rocks

China and Japan must begin talks on crisis prevention and mitigation regarding the disputed waters of the East China Sea to avoid an accidental clash that could lead to a larger conflict.

Also available in 简体中文
Report / Europe & Central Asia

China’s Central Asia Problem

China’s influence is growing rapidly in Central Asia at a time when the region is looking increasingly unstable.
 

Also available in 简体中文
Report / Asia

China and Inter-Korean Clashes in the Yellow Sea

China is undermining its own security interests by downplaying North Korea’s deadly provocations in the Yellow Sea.

Also available in 简体中文