From Early Warning to Early Action

Video

CrisisWatch | A Tool to Prevent Conflict

Too many people still die from violent conflict and it is preventable.

Impact Note / Global

CrisisWatch 20-year Anniversary Brochure

Twenty years ago, the first edition of Crisis Group’s early warning bulletin was born. Covering about 50 situations of conflict at the time, CrisisWatch has evolved into a much more sophisticated tool, becoming a leading reference for those seeking to prevent conflict or mitigate its effects.

On the Horizon: October 2023-March 2024

On the Horizon offers a snapshot into emergent conflicts and crises in the next three to six months in a clear, accessible format, identifying triggers, key dates to watch and potential behaviour of conflict actors, to support global conflict prevention efforts. This edition includes entries on Bangladesh, DR Congo, Ethiopia and Somaliland.

Event Recording

EU Watch List: 10 Cases Where the EU can Build Peace in 2023 (Event, 1st February 2023)

Crisis Group’s Watch List identifies ten countries or regions at risk of deadly conflict or escalation thereof in 2023. In these places, early action, driven or supported by the EU and its member states, could enhance prospects for peace and stability.

Is Restoring the Iran Nuclear Deal Still Possible?

Though hope is fading, the U.S. and Iran may still be able to revitalise the 2015 accord on Tehran’s nuclear program. Should they falter, they should pursue more modest interim goals rather than allow the risk of confrontation to grow.

Also available in العربية, فارسی
Statement / Africa

Avoiding the Abyss as War Resumes in Northern Ethiopia

Renewed fighting between a federal-Amhara-Eritrea coalition and Tigray’s forces has shattered a tenuous months-long truce. The reversal heralds a return to one of the world’s deadliest conflicts. International envoys should keep pressing the Ethiopian parties to renew the truce and begin formal direct negotiations.

Q&A / Europe & Central Asia

Warding Off Renewed War in Nagorno-Karabakh

Several soldiers have been killed in clashes between Azerbaijani troops and ethnic Armenian forces answering to the de facto authorities in Nagorno-Karabakh, raising fears of escalation. Crisis Group experts Olesya Vartanyan, Zaur Shiriyev and Anita Mihaeljana explain what can be done to safeguard the ceasefire.

Op-Ed / Asia

Pelosi’s visit makes clear the dangers of an incoherent US policy on Taiwan

No matter what immediate tit-for-tat reactions there are to the visit, the troubling long-term implication points to the urgent need for the Biden administration and Congress to better coordinate their handling of the Taiwan issue.

Q&A / Asia

Avoiding the Next Taiwan Strait Crisis

Nancy Pelosi, the speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives, is planning a visit to Taiwan in early August. In this Q&A, Crisis Group expert Amanda Hsiao identifies steps the U.S. and China can take to keep frictions minimal should her trip proceed.

The Ukraine War: A Watershed Moment for EU Foreign Policy?

This week on War & Peace, Elissa Jobson is joined by Crisis Group EU experts Lisa Musiol and Giuseppe Famà to talk about the EU’s transformative response to the Ukraine war and what it can do to help promote peace in other conflicts around the world.

Subscribe to Crisis Group’s Email Updates

Receive the best source of conflict analysis right in your inbox.