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Middle East & North Africa

CrisisWatch Middle East & North Africa

CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, a tool designed to help decision-makers prevent deadly violence by keeping them up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace.

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Trends for Last Month April 2019

Deteriorated Situations

YemenEgyptLibya

Improved Situations

none

Outlook for This Month May 2019

Conflict Risk Alerts

YemenAlgeriaLibya

Resolution Opportunities

none

President's Take

Proxies and Manipulators Vex More and More Wars

Contributor

President & CEO
Rob_Malley

In his introduction to this month's edition of CrisisWatch, Crisis Group's conflict tracker, our President Robert Malley reflects on Sudan, Libya and Venezuela, and how fear and exploitation are increasingly complicating conflict prevention efforts.

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Reports & Briefings

In The News

6 May 2019
[Iran has] plenty of options. The problem is, given that there are no off-ramps, and no channels of communication between [Iran and the U.S.], the risks of a confrontation quickly spiraling out of control are quite high. The Atlantic

Ali Vaez

Project Director, Iran
5 May 2019
Hamas agreed to restrain the protests in return for concessions. Those haven’t materialized. New York Times

Tareq Baconi

Analyst, Israel/Palestine and Economics of Conflict
5 May 2019
My sense is that [Iran is] going to break out of some of the [JCPOA's] limits on research and development. It’s an escalation, but an incremental and reversible one. Politico

Ali Vaez

Project Director, Iran
1 May 2019
Given that the PA’s main source of legitimacy is its capacity to employ a considerable proportion of the Palestinian workforce, internal discontent could challenge its ability to govern effectively. Reuters

Tareq Baconi

Analyst, Israel/Palestine and Economics of Conflict
9 Apr 2019
The designation of the [Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps] as a terrorist group actually has more impact in the countries neighbouring Iran than Iran itself. Financial Times

Maria Fantappie

Senior Adviser, Iraq (Consulting)
9 Apr 2019
Haftar is deeply unpopular in many places and given the fragmented state of Libya and the proliferation of armed groups it’s going to be very hard to impose his rule throughout the country. TIME

Joost Hiltermann

Program Director, Middle East and North Africa

Latest Updates

Europe Tests the Boundaries on Iran

A New Trade Vehicle Could Preserve the Nuclear Deal’s Core Bargain

Originally published in Foreign Affairs

Trump’s ‘Maximum Pressure’ Won’t Make Iran Yield

The one thing Tehran would find more intolerable than the crushing impact of sanctions is raising the white flag because of them.

Originally published in The Atlantic

Crisis Group Yemen Update #11

This is International Crisis Group’s eleventh regular update on the war in Yemen. This week, we focus on the first step towards force redeployments in Hodeida and the response of the UN Security Council.

Iran Challenges Remaining Partners to Save Nuclear Deal

Responding to the Trump administration’s “maximum pressure”, Iran has announced it will no longer respect all the limits placed on its nuclear research activities by its 2015 deal with world powers. With Washington having renounced the deal, the remaining signatories should hasten to save it.

Also available in فارسی

Our People

Peter Salisbury

Consulting Senior Analyst, Yemen
peterjsalisbury

Dareen Khalifa

Senior Analyst, Syria
dkhalifa

Joost Hiltermann

Program Director, Middle East and North Africa
JoostHiltermann

Michaël Béchir Ayari

Senior Analyst, Tunisia

Maria Fantappie

Senior Adviser, Iraq (Consulting)

Claudia Gazzini

Consulting Analyst, Libya

April Longley Alley

Deputy Program Director, Middle East and North Africa

Nathan Thrall

Project Director, Arab-Israeli Conflict
nathanthrall