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Middle East & North Africa

CrisisWatch
Conflict Tracker Middle East & North Africa
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Trends for Last Month October 2021

Deteriorated Situations

LebanonSyriaYemen

Improved Situations

Western Sahara

Outlook for This Month November 2021

Conflict Risk Alerts

Yemen

Resolution Opportunities

none

Reports & Briefings

In The News

11 Nov 2021
By insisting on its maximalist demands [in the nuclear talks with the U.S.], Iran is likely to get neither sanctions relief nor the guarantees it is seeking. Reuters

Ali Vaez

Senior Adviser to the President & Project Director, Iran
6 Nov 2021
Morocco has shown a more hardnosed approach to Western Sahara and in its relations with its neighbours, including Spain. AFP

Riccardo Fabiani

Project Director, North Africa
3 Nov 2021
From an Iranian perspective, their ally in Yemen the Houthis appear very close in effect to winning the war in the north, if not the entire country. Reuters

Peter Salisbury

Senior Analyst, Yemen
7 Oct 2021
[Shiite Muslim cleric] Sadr has been selling himself as a viable option, and a central one in Iraqi politics. Washington Post

Lahib Higel

Senior Analyst, Iraq
24 Sep 2021
If anything, it is amazing how little the pandemic has affected the fighting [in Yemen]. The New York Times

Peter Salisbury

Senior Analyst, Yemen
22 Sep 2021
[Iranian President] Raisi’s harsh denunciation of the United States doesn’t suggest that Iran is prepared to demonstrate the kind of flexibility that is needed to restore the JCPOA. The National

Ali Vaez

Senior Adviser to the President & Project Director, Iran

Latest Updates

Managing Lebanon’s Compounding Crises

Lebanon is suffering economic meltdown while its politicians dither. Reform – and fiscal relief – is unlikely before 2022 elections. While pushing for timely polls, international partners should send humanitarian assistance to ease the public’s pain, keep key infrastructure running and avert security breakdowns.

Also available in العربية

Europe’s Balancing Act in Western Sahara

Hugh Pope is joined by North Africa experts Intissar Fakir and Riccardo Fabiani to ask whether Morocco holds a winning hand in its conflict with the pro-independence Polisario Front in Western Sahara as Europe looks on timidly, wary of direct challenges to the regional power. 

Violence Threatens Fraying Rule of Law in Lebanon

Clashes on 14 October over a judicial investigation into the 2020 Beirut port blast evoked the sectarian divisions of Lebanon’s civil war and threatened what's left of the rule of law. Hizbollah must allow the investigation to proceed or risk further weakening of the state.

Also available in العربية

Our People

Laure Foucher

Senior Analyst, MENA/Europe

Peter Salisbury

Senior Analyst, Yemen
peterjsalisbury

Dareen Khalifa

Senior Analyst, Syria
dkhalifa

Riccardo Fabiani

Project Director, North Africa
ricfabiani

Lahib Higel

Senior Analyst, Iraq
LahibHigel

Mairav Zonszein

Senior Analyst, Israel-Palestine
MairavZ

Tahani Mustafa

Analyst, West Bank