Rafael Ch Duran

Rafael Ch Duran

Postdoctoral Fellow on the Future of Conflict

Crisis Group Role

As a Future of Conflict Fellow and member of the Latin America Program, Rafael Ch integrates quantitative analysis and spatial data to study criminal behaviour, governments’ policy response and climate-related topics in Latin America, particularly Mexico, Colombia and Brazil.

Professional Background

Rafael is also a Visiting Fellow at Princeton University's Empirical Studies of Conflict Project.

Areas of Expertise

  • Non-state armed groups, 
  • State capture, 
  • Rebel strategy, 
  • Illegal crops, 
  • Clientelism, 
  • Corruption, 
  • Accountability, 
  • Latin America, 
  • Research Methods.


  • English
  • Spanish

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