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CrisisWatch
Conflict Tracker Asia
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Trends for Last Month August 2020

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Contributor

President & CEO
Rob_Malley

In his introduction to this month’s edition of CrisisWatch, our President Robert Malley reflects on the risk of violence in a number of upcoming African elections.

Read President's Take

Reports & Briefings

In The News

11 Sep 2020
Posturing from the Taliban... suggests they perceive their current position to be one of great strength. Yahoo News Australia

Andrew Watkins

Senior Analyst, Afghanistan
20 Aug 2020
To say there is a partial transfer of power seems to be an exaggeration, given the system in North Korea. BloombergQuint

Duyeon Kim

Senior Adviser, North East Asia & Nuclear Policy
20 Aug 2020
A U.S. departure from Afghanistan without a peace deal would likely result in a protracted and intensified civil war, in which many Afghans will suffer. Voice of America

Laurel Miller

Program Director, Asia
13 Aug 2020
As Myanmar starts to consolidate a system of electoral democracy after so many decades of authoritarianism, observers play a key role in giving the elections credibility. The New York Times

Richard Horsey

Senior Adviser, Myanmar
3 Aug 2020
In order to establish greater trust during intra-Afghan negotiations, both sides should quickly discuss practical measures that can be taken to combat the violence of spoiler groups. Voice of America

Andrew Watkins

Senior Analyst, Afghanistan
27 Jul 2020
If the defector is in fact the cause for the Kaesong lockdown, then North Korea doesn’t need to deny infections anymore and can blame its epidemic on defectors and imported cases from South Korea. Time

Duyeon Kim

Senior Adviser, North East Asia & Nuclear Policy

Latest Updates

Commentary / Asia

Resilient Militancy in the Southern Philippines

Two August bomb explosions in the southern Philippines’ Sulu archipelago highlighted how militant networks may be splintered but are deeply entrenched. To keep the long Bangsamoro transition to peace on track, the government should strengthen outreach to local elites and improve cooperation between security services.

Podcast / Asia

Hold your Fire: Afghan Peace Talks and Dealing with the Taliban

In this podcast series, Crisis Group President Rob Malley and Board Member Naz Modirzadeh, a Harvard professor of international law and armed conflict, dive deep into the conflicts that rage around the globe, along with Crisis Group field analysts and special guests. This week, they discuss French President Emmanuel Macron's plunge into the murky waters of Lebanese politics and the Trump administration's stunning decision to impose sanctions on the staff of the International Criminal Court. They also speak with Andrew Watkins, Crisis Group's senior analyst for Afghanistan, about what to expect from the country's pending peace talks.

Op-Ed / Asia

Sri Lanka: Landslide win for the Rajapaksa puts democracy and pluralism at risk

Twice postponed because of COVID-19, Sri Lanka's parliamentary election finally took place on 5 August. The SLPP's electoral victory should be understood not simply as a result of dissatisfaction with rival party UNP, but of the failure of its internationally-backed liberal reform agenda to gain lasting traction with Sri Lankan voters.

Originally published in LSE South Asia Centre

Report / Asia

Taking Stock of the Taliban’s Perspectives on Peace

For Afghanistan's peace talks to work, the Taliban will need to shift focus to what they want, not what they oppose. They should develop clear negotiating positions on key issues and work to convince their members that peace requires compromise.

Also available in دری, پښتو

Our People

Samina Ahmed

Project Director, South Asia and Senior Asia Adviser

Alan Keenan

Senior Consultant, Sri Lanka
akeenan23

Matthew Wheeler

Senior Analyst, South East Asia
mattzwheeler

Richard Horsey

Senior Adviser, Myanmar
rshorsey

Michael Kovrig

Senior Adviser, North East Asia
MichaelKovrig

Borhan Osman

Senior Consultant, Afghanistan

Laurel Miller

Program Director, Asia
LaurelMillerICG

Pierre Prakash

Deputy Director, Asia
PierrePrakash