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CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, an early warning tool designed to help prevent deadly violence. It keeps decision-makers up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises every month, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace. In addition, CrisisWatch monitors over 50 situations (“standby monitoring”) to offer timely information if developments indicate a drift toward violence or instability. Entries dating back to 2003 provide easily searchable conflict histories.

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Trends for Last Month February 2024

Improved Situations

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Outlook for This Month March 2024

Conflict Risk Alerts

Israel/Palestine Lebanon Yemen

Resolution Opportunities

Israel/Palestine

In The News

15 Dec 2023
Moscow's strategy of waiting for an erosion of European unity over Ukraine could yet prove a miscalculation. DW

Simon Schlegel

Senior Analyst, Ukraine
15 Dec 2023
Ukraine's weapons supplies are depleted by the counteroffensive, and its allies are struggling to quickly ramp up production. DW

Alissa de Carbonnel

Deputy Program Director, Europe and Central Asia
13 Dec 2023
Especially after the elections in Turkey, the EU is looking for new ways of having a more constructive and less acrimonious relationship with Turkey. P.A. Turkey

Berkay Mandıracı

Senior Analyst, Türkiye
9 Dec 2023
[Putin’s] goal is to force the West to negotiate on Moscow's terms … on the entire post-Soviet space. He wants to divide the world into spheres of influence again. The Moscow Times

Oleg Ignatov

Senior Analyst, Russia
30 Nov 2023
The Indian Ocean has become the main theatre for the great power rivalry between the US and China. And Moscow would like to enhance its strategic presence in the region. Voice of America

Praveen Donthi

Senior Analyst, India
25 Nov 2023
Azerbaijan does not trust Western incentives for peace talks … [Azerbaijanis] would like to see more emphasis on issues such as investments and reconstruction. Nu.NL

Zaur Shiriyev

Analyst, South Caucasus

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Our People

Olga Oliker

Program Director, Europe and Central Asia
Olga Oliker

Alissa de Carbonnel

Deputy Program Director, Europe and Central Asia
Alissa de Carbonnel

Nigar Göksel

Project Director, Türkiye
Nigar Göksel
Sema Güçlü

Sema Güçlü

Office Manager

Oleg Ignatov

Senior Analyst, Russia
Oleg Ignatov

Berkay Mandıracı

Senior Analyst, Türkiye
Berkay Mandıracı

Marko Prelec

Consulting Senior Analyst, Balkans
Marko Prelec

Simon Schlegel

Senior Analyst, Ukraine
Simon Schlegel

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