Arrow Down Arrow Left Arrow Right Arrow Up Camera icon set icon set Ellipsis icon set Facebook Favorite Globe Hamburger List Mail Map Marker Map Microphone Minus PDF Play Print RSS Search Share Trash Twitter Video Camera Youtube

Horn of Africa

CrisisWatch Horn of Africa

CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.

View latest updates

Trends for Last Month November 2017

Deteriorated Situations

none

Improved Situations

none

Outlook for This Month December 2017

Conflict Risk Alerts

none

Resolution Opportunities

none

Reports & Briefings

In The News

3 Dec 2017
This is a dangerous moment [for Sudan]. By taking out [Darfur's powerful militia chief] Musa Hilal, [Khartoum] has pitched two Darfuri Arab clans against each other. AFP

Magnus Taylor

Analyst, Horn of Africa
26 Nov 2017
[Kenya's] crisis has highlighted the gulf between the elite and the ordinary people. It is a sentiment I recognise every day. The government and opposition are disconnected from the people’s reality. AFP

Rashid Abdi

Project Director, Horn of Africa
16 Nov 2017
[Kenya's] opposition has given greater currency [to political concessions] because of the elections dispute. I don’t think the opposition’s endgame is the Balkanisation of Kenya. Bloomberg

Rashid Abdi

Project Director, Horn of Africa
2 Nov 2017
[Kenya's election] is about the idea of moving toward greater political competition and freedom, against those that say, ‘Let’s privilege economic development and forget political liberalism for now.’ AP

Murithi Mutiga

Senior Analyst, Horn of Africa
1 Nov 2017
Unfortunately Kenyan elections don’t tend to end with a clear winner or clear loser, they tend to end in draws. The one that captures or retains power has access to a vast resource of patronage. Bloomberg

Murithi Mutiga

Senior Analyst, Horn of Africa
29 Oct 2017
The longer [the Kenyan political crisis] drags on the more bellicose the rhetoric gets among politicians and the more animosity there is among rising ethnic identities. The Guardian

Murithi Mutiga

Senior Analyst, Horn of Africa

Latest Updates

Op-Ed / Africa

Bit by Bit, Uganda Is Laying the Groundwork for Future Unrest

Economically and politically, Uganda's government’s actions are leading to growing frustrations and lawlessness.

Originally published in African Arguments

Commentary / Africa

Three Critical African Elections

Delayed elections in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), where the stalled transition risks provoking a major crisis, are one of three critical African polls: the DRC crisis, the recent vote in Kenya and Zimbabwe’s election next year all have important implications for democracy and stability on the continent.

Op-Ed / Africa

To Intervene or Not? China’s Foreign Policy Experiment in South Sudan Raises Questions

China’s growing involvement in South Sudan’s civil war differs from its past approach to non-interference, though there is debate on the long-term implications as its role in African, and global, security affairs expands.

Originally published in South China Morning Post

Briefing / Africa

A New Roadmap to Make U.S. Sudan Sanctions Relief Work

By 12 October, Washington will decide whether the steps Sudan has taken qualify it for lifting some U.S. sanctions. But to push forward afterwards will require a new roadmap that ties further sanctions relief and improved bilateral relations to political reform and human rights.

Report / Africa

Double-edged Sword: Vigilantes in African Counter-insurgencies

Vigilante groups have been successful in providing local security. But subcontracting security functions to vigilante groups for counter-insurgency purposes is a dangerous option for fragile African states. African leaders should set clear objectives and mandates when enlisting vigilantes and invest in disarmament, demobilisation and reintegration programs.

Also available in Français

Our People

Rashid Abdi

Project Director, Horn of Africa
RAbdiCG

Abdullahi Abdille

Researcher, Horn of Africa
a_abdille

Grace Njuguna

Office Manager, Horn of Africa

Magnus Taylor

Analyst, Horn of Africa

Zakaria Yusuf

Analyst, Somalia

Claire Elder

Consulting Analyst, Horn of Africa

Murithi Mutiga

Senior Analyst, Horn of Africa
mutigam

Idil Farah

Analyst, Somalia
IdilayBilan