Climate, Environment and Conflict

The relationship between climate change and deadly conflict is complex and context-specific, but it is undeniable that climate change is a threat multiplier that is already increasing food insecurity, water scarcity and resource competition, while disrupting livelihoods and spurring migration. In turn, deadly conflict and political instability are contributing to climate change – including through illegal logging. 

As this introductory video lays out, Crisis Group’s work on climate change and conflict relies on field-based research and analysis to provide insights into how policymakers might best influence and respond to these complex changes to mitigate conflict risks.

Robert Blecher

Program Director, Future of Conflict

Basharat Peer

Deputy Program Director, Future of Conflict

Ulrich Eberle

Project Director, Climate, Environment and Conflict

Margaux Pimond

Project Manager, Climate, Environment and Conflict

Andrew Ciacci

Former Researcher, Future of Conflict

Antony Otieno

Former Quantitative Climate Expert
nazanine-moshiri

Nazanine Moshiri

Senior Analyst, Climate, Environment & Conflict, Africa

Carolin Graf

FoC consultant

Latest Updates

In The News

11 ธ.ค. 2023
I’m optimistic about renewables and pessimistic about everything else … it is hard to be positive when emissions are continuing unabated. Anadolu Agency

Andrew Ciacci

Former Researcher, Future of Conflict
2 ธ.ค. 2023
North-South conversation at COP was never going to be easy, but the timing and severity of the [Gaza] war … could distract attention from vital issues. CNN

Ulrich Eberle

Project Director, Climate, Environment and Conflict
29 พ.ย. 2023
[At COP28] African negotiators are grappling with how to ensure that climate diplomacy is shielded from the many wars and economic distractions going on. News24

Nazanine Moshiri

Senior Analyst, Climate, Environment & Conflict, Africa
28 พ.ย. 2023
It is crucial that politicians and diplomats do not let the crisis in the Middle East distract them from the longer-term risks of climate change. CNA

Ulrich Eberle

Project Director, Climate, Environment and Conflict
21 มี.ค. 2022
No matter what happens next, the disruption wrought by Russia’s invasion will keep commodity prices high for the year. The Globe and Mail

Champa Patel

Former Consultant, Future of Conflict

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