Flashpoint / Global

Riyadh

I. Why it Matters

The regional power competition between Iran and Saudi Arabia is heating up. A sense that Tehran and its allies have been steadily gaining influence across a number of countries, set against a more assertive leadership in Riyadh, is playing out as a zero-sum struggle across the Middle East. From Yemen to Lebanon, competition between the two regional powers exacerbates existing conflicts and creates new tensions in a region already engulfed in turmoil. So far, their contests have exacted a relatively low cost on their respective publics. But this could change dramatically if, for example, an Iranian-provided ballistic missile fired by the Huthis causes significant casualties in Saudi Arabia, or an Iranian separatist group bolstered by Saudi aid conducts a deadly attack in Iran, or a cyberattack were to successfully penetrate key systems in one of the states in the region. More broadly, a real or perceived threat to either country’s power centre could make its leadership feel compelled to escalate.

II. Recent Developments

  • 4 September 2022
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  • 4 September 2022
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  • 29 August 2022
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  • 2 August 2022
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  • 2 August 2022
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  • 25 July 2022
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  • 30 May 2022
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  • 25 April 2022
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  • 12 April 2022
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  • 4 April 2022
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  • 1 April 2022
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  • 31 March 2022
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  • 29 March 2022
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  • 14 March 2022
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  • 11 March 2022
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  • 28 February 2022
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  • 15 February 2022
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  • 10 February 2022
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  • 4 February 2022
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  • 31 January 2022
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  • 27 January 2022
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  • 21 January 2022
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  • 17 January 2022
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  • 7 January 2022
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  • 7 January 2022
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  • 4 January 2022
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  • 2 January 2022
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  • 2 January 2022
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  • 29 December 2021
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  • 28 December 2021
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  • 24 December 2021
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  • 16 December 2021
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  • 14 December 2021
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  • 13 December 2021
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  • 9 December 2021
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  • 7 December 2021
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  • 6 December 2021
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  • 6 December 2021
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  • 1 December 2021
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  • 30 November 2021
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  • 21 November 2021
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  • 19 November 2021
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  • 18 November 2021
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  • 17 November 2021
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  • 17 November 2021
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  • 15 November 2021
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  • 11 November 2021
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  • 10 November 2021
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  • 8 November 2021
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  • 6 November 2021
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  • 5 November 2021
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  • 4 November 2021
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  • 1 November 2021
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  • 31 October 2021
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  • 30 October 2021
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  • 28 October 2021
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  • 27 October 2021
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  • 20 October 2021
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  • 15 October 2021
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  • 14 October 2021
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  • 13 October 2021
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  • 12 October 2021
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  • 8 October 2021
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  • 7 October 2021
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  • 6 October 2021
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  • 4 October 2021
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  • 3 October 2021
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  • 3 October 2021
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  • 3 October 2021
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  • 1 October 2021
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  • 29 September 2021
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  • 29 September 2021
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  • 28 September 2021
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  • 27 September 2021
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  • 26 September 2021
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  • 25 September 2021
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  • 24 September 2021
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  • 23 September 2021
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  • 23 September 2021
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  • 23 September 2021
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  • 23 September 2021
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  • 22 September 2021
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  • 22 September 2021
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  • 22 September 2021
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  • 21 September 2021
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  • 20 September 2021
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  • 16 September 2021
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  • 15 September 2021
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  • 15 September 2021
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  • 13 September 2021
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  • 11 September 2021
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  • 11 September 2021
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  • 9 September 2021
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  • 9 September 2021
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  • 4 September 2021
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  • 2 September 2021
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  • 1 September 2021
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  • 31 August 2021
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  • 31 August 2021
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  • 30 August 2021
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  • 30 August 2021
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  • 29 August 2021
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  • 27 August 2021
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  • 22 August 2021
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  • 19 August 2021
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  • 15 August 2021
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  • 13 August 2021
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  • 10 August 2021
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  • 3 August 2021
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  • 30 July 2021
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  • 29 July 2021
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  • 25 July 2021
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  • 12 July 2021
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  • 8 July 2021
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  • 3 July 2021
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  • 30 June 2021
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  • 27 June 2021
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  • 13 June 2021
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  • 10 June 2021