Flashpoint / Global

Lebanon

I. Why it Matters

Iran seeks to projects its influence in Lebanon, primarily through longstanding support for Hizbollah. Their relationship, which has ideological, financial and military dimensions, is perhaps the most enduring element in the “axis of resistance” Tehran has cultivated among local partners across the region. From Israel’s perspective, this presents a multilayered concern: It has created a significant threat on its northern border, compounds the significance of Iranian influence in Syria as a conduit for arms shipment and could in a worst-case scenario see Iranian allies coordinated and mobilised against it on multiple fronts simultaneously. Though a degree of deterrence between Israel and Hizbollah has kept recent flareups in check, that balance is tenuous.

II. Recent Developments

  • 15 July 2024
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