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Ruling party PPRD victory rally in Kinshasa after Jospeh Kabila's re-election, 28 November 2011/ Colin Delfosse.

Congo: Is Democratic Change Possible?

Africa Report N°225, 5 May 2015

With the 2016 presidential elections approaching, tension in the Democratic Republic of Congo is increasing. President Kabila is nearing the end of his second term and political manoeuvring within the government to create conditions for a third term is mobilising popular opposition, testing the country’s fragile democratisation and stability. International pressure is now vital to find a peaceful way forward.

Le forum de Bangui : ne pas répéter les erreurs du passé

Catherine Samba-Panza (centre), Head of State of the Transition of the Central African Republic, makes the opening speech at the restitution ceremony of the Brazzaville Forum/ UN PHOTO

4 May 2015: Le forum de Bangui, qui s’ouvre aujourd’hui, est une étape fondamentale de la transition en République centrafricaine (RCA) et suscite des attentes très importantes. Il doit permettre aux participants de débattre des causes profondes de la crise, de forger un consensus national autour des principaux défis auxquels le pays est confronté et, selon les termes de la présidente de la transition, Catherine Samba-Panza, de « dégager une vision pour l’avenir ».

Ending Corruption in Guatemala

30 April 2015: The work of the International Commission Against Impunity in Guatemala (CICIG) played a crucial role in Guatemala’s recent successes against corruption. In this Q&A, Crisis Group Guatemala Analyst Arturo Matute explains what this UN-backed body’s investigations have revealed, and how it should fulfil its mission to promote accountability and strengthen rule of law in one of the world’s most violent countries.

Statement on a Syrian Policy Framework
Residents inspect a damaged site after what activists say were four air strikes by forces loyal to Syria's President Bashar al-Assad in Douma, eastern al-Ghouta, near Damascus September 24, 2014. Picture taken September 24, 2014. REUTERS/Bassam Khabieh (SYRIA - Tags: POLITICS CIVIL UNREST CONFLICT TPX IMAGES OF THE DAY)

27 April 2015: On its current trajectory, and with no military or diplomatic breakthrough on the horizon, the Syrian war will worsen. Four years into a popular uprising that gradually degenerated into civil strife and regional proxy war, the conflict’s Syrian protagonists – the regime and its loyalist militias versus the broad spectrum of armed rebel factions and the external political opposition – are too fractious, fragile and heavily invested in their current courses to break with the status quo. They are also, as should be clear by now, incapable of military victory in a war rapidly fuelling the growth of a third category of protagonists: Salafi-jihadi groups. The sides’ respective state backers are better positioned to change tack and so affect the course of events, but they are prisoners of their own shortcomings, fears and wishful thinking.

In Pursuit of Peace Award Dinner

International Crisis Group Save the Date

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