Volunteers from Emirates Red Crescent prepare parcels with humanitarian aid for Gaza to be transferred through the Rafah border crossing between Egypt and the Gaza Strip, in Cairo, Egypt, March 30, 2024.

The UAE, Israel and a Test of Influence

The United Arab Emirates signed the 2020 Abraham Accords with Israel in pursuit of strategic benefits. During the Gaza war, costs are becoming clear. Abu Dhabi shows no sign of rethinking normalisation, but it might consider smaller steps to register discontent with the Israeli campaign. 

CrisisWatch
Conflict Tracker
View Latest Edition

map CW May

CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, an early warning tool designed to help prevent deadly violence. It keeps decision-makers up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises every month, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace. In addition, CrisisWatch monitors over 50 situations (“standby monitoring”) to offer timely information if developments indicate a drift toward violence or instability. Entries dating back to 2003 provide easily searchable conflict histories.

Learn more about CrisisWatch

Trends for Last Month Mai 2024

Improved Situations

Keine

Outlook for This Month January 1970

Resolution Opportunities

Keine

The ceasefire deal the U.S. has tabled represents the best – and perhaps last – hope for both ending the Gaza war and getting the hostages held in the strip back any time soon. Israeli and Hamas leaders should accept it.

The gruelling war in Ukraine continues, with Russian forces creeping forward amid fierce fighting. To stop Russia’s immediate momentum and withstand its assault, Kyiv and its backers will need to move quickly to fix problems that have hindered the Ukrainian effort to date.

In The News

9 Juni 2024
There is an Israeli narrative in the [Gaza] war, and an international narrative, and they don’t really meet. The Guardian

Mairav Zonszein

Senior Analyst, Israel
8 Juni 2024
The Egyptian acts are pushed on the one hand by a sense of solidarity with the Palestinian cause but on the other hand as a matter of security. Al-Monitor

Riccardo Fabiani

Project Director, North Africa
31 Mai 2024
The tensions between Egypt and Israel on the Gaza border are effectively fuelling tensions between the U.S. and Egypt. Middle East Eye

Riccardo Fabiani

Project Director, North Africa
31 Mai 2024
[UN Security] Council members now seem resigned to the fact that many states which have hosted UN missions for a long time want them gone. AFP

Richard Gowan

UN Director
31 Mai 2024
Myanmar’s ethnic armed groups are securing on the battlefield the autonomous homelands they have long sought. Al Jazeera

Richard Horsey

Senior Adviser, Myanmar
28 Mai 2024
You can’t help but watch the level of focus on … Gaza and Ukraine and wonder what just 5 percent of that energy could have done in a context like Sudan. Foreign Policy

Alan Boswell

Project Director, Horn of Africa

Support Us

Your investment helps us to meet the growing demand for our work as we confront a terrible trend toward more wars, more civilians killed and more people displaced worldwide.

Donate now Learn What We Do

Subscribe to Crisis Group’s Email Updates

Receive the best source of conflict analysis right in your inbox.