Commentary

Toward Normal Relations between Kosovo and Serbia

Tensions between Kosovo and Serbia have soared since 2021, with protests in Kosovo’s northern municipalities at Pristina’s assertions of authority. In this excerpt from the Watch List 2024, Crisis Group encourages the EU to foster bilateral dialogue aimed at normalising relations.

Commentary / Asia

The Philippines: Keeping the Bangsamoro Peace Process on Track

As 2025 elections draw near in the Philippines’ newly autonomous Muslim-majority region, threats to the peace process have emerged. In this excerpt from the Watch List 2024, Crisis Group outlines what the EU can do to preserve its gains.

Commentary / Africa

Reorienting Europe’s Approach in the Sahel

Military regimes in Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger are putting civilians at risk with the tactics of their campaigns against jihadists. In this excerpt from the Watch List 2024, Crisis Group identifies how the EU can recalibrate its policies to promote stability and human rights in the Sahel.

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Venezuela: The Perilous Path to a Key Election

Venezuela’s pivotal 2024 election may offer a way out of its political and humanitarian crises, but the risk of setbacks is high. In this excerpt from the Watch List 2024, Crisis Group explains what the EU can do to help.

Also available in Español
Commentary / Asia

Toward a Self-sufficient Afghanistan

Western sanctions on the Taliban regime for its restrictions on women’s rights are plunging Afghanistan into isolation, including from its neighbours. In this excerpt from the Watch List 2024, Crisis Group outlines ways the EU can support regional diplomacy and mitigate the country’s socio-economic crisis.

Israel in Paralysis

A political crisis has gripped Israel as its Gaza campaign grinds on with no end in sight. Not only are more than 100 Israelis still captives of Hamas, but many feel held hostage by their own failed leadership.

Crimes against the Climate: Violence and Deforestation in the Amazon

Organised crime has infiltrated the Amazon basin, seeking land for growing coca, rivers for drug trafficking and veins of gold underground. These groups are endangering the rainforest and the safety of those attempting to defend it. It is imperative that regional governments take protective measures.

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Commentary / Global

10 Conflicts to Watch in 2024

More leaders are pursuing their ends militarily. More believe they can get away with it.

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Commentary / Global

عشرة صراعات تجدر مراقبتها في عام 2024

عدد متزايد من القادة يسعى لتحقيق أهدافه عسكرياً، ويعتقد أنه يستطيع أن يفعل ذلك دون مساءلة

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Commentary / Global

Dix conflits à surveiller en 2024

De plus en plus de dirigeants choisissent la voie militaire pour atteindre leurs objectifs et beaucoup d’entre eux sont convaincus qu’ils pourront s’en tirer à bon compte. 

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Commentary / Global

10 conflictos para tener en la mira en 2024

Cada vez más líderes persiguen sus objetivos militarmente. Más aún creen que podrán salirse con la suya. 

Also available in العربية, English, Français and other languages

Diplomacy Must Prevail in Israel-Hizbollah Conflict

Thus far, Hizbollah and Israel have avoided a disastrous escalation on the Israeli-Lebanese border as the Gaza war rages. But trouble lies ahead. Western-led mediation remains the best way to restore security to the frontier.

Also available in العربية

يجب أن تكون اليد العليا للدبلوماسية في الصراع بين إسرائيل وحزب الله

حتى الآن، تجنب حزب الله وإسرائيل حدوث تصعيد كارثي على الحدود الإسرائيلية–اللبنانية في الوقت الذي تستعر فيه حرب غزة. لكن ثمة مشاكل في قادم الأيام. ولذلك فإن وساطة بقيادة غربية تبقى السبيل الأفضل لاستعادة الأمن على الحدود.

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Türkiye’s Growing Drone Exports

Low-cost and high-performing, Turkish-made armed drones are capturing an increasing share of the global market. This success comes with risks, including escalation of conflict and reputational damage, but there are several ways for Ankara to manage them.

Also available in Türkçe

Türkiye'nin Büyüyen İnsansız Hava Aracı İhracatı

Düşük maliyetli ve yüksek performansa sahip Türkiye yapımı silahlı insansız hava araçları küresel pazardaki payını giderek arttırıyor. Ancak, bu önemli başarı bazı jeopolitik ve insani riskleri de beraberinde getirebilir. Ankara, bu alandaki yaklaşımlarını geliştirerek bu riskleri yönetebilir.

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Crimes contra o clima: violência e desmatamento na Amazônia

O crime organizado infiltrou-se na bacia amazônica, procurando terras para o cultivo de coca, rios para o tráfico de droga e veios de ouro subterrâneos. Esses grupos estão colocando em risco a floresta tropical e a segurança daqueles que tentam defendê-la. É imperativo que os governos regionais tomem medidas de proteção.

Also available in English, Español

Crímenes contra el clima: violencia y deforestación en la Amazonía

El crimen organizado se ha infiltrado en la cuenca del Amazonas, buscando tierras para cultivar coca, ríos para traficar drogas y vetas de oro subterráneas. Estos grupos están poniendo en peligro la selva tropical y la seguridad de quienes intentan defenderla. Es urgente que los gobiernos regionales tomen medidas para su protección.

Also available in English, Português
Commentary / Africa

ECOWAS, Nigeria and the Niger Coup Sanctions: Time to Recalibrate

The sanctions imposed on Niger by the Economic Community of West African States after its July coup are hurting civilians more than anyone else. Led by Nigeria, the bloc should revise these measures to narrowly target the generals responsible for disrupting democracy.

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Commentary / Africa

Sanctions de la Cedeao après le coup d’État au Niger : un réajustement s’impose

Les sanctions imposées au Niger par la Communauté économique des États de l’Afrique de l’Ouest après le coup d’État de juillet affectent avant tout les civils. Sous l’impulsion du Nigéria, le bloc régional devrait réviser ces mesures pour cibler plus étroitement les généraux responsables d’avoir mis à mal la démocratie.

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Commentary / Global

How the UN Can Make the Most of the New Agenda for Peace

The UN Secretary-General has encountered resistance to many of the ideas for strengthening international peace and security he laid out in a July policy brief. Achieving consensus on large-scale multilateral reform will be hard, but a summit in 2024 is a focus for limited innovation.

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