CrisisWatch

Tracking Conflict Worldwide

CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, a tool designed to help decision-makers prevent deadly violence by keeping them up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace.

Global Overview

Outlook for This Month March 2022

Conflict Risk Alerts

Resolution Opportunities

Trends for Last Month February 2022

Deteriorated Situations

Improved Situations

Our monthly conflict tracker warns of four conflict risks and one resolution opportunity in March.

  • Moscow launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine, forcing hundreds of thousands to flee. As Russian forces continue their assault in the face of resistance, the conflict could further intensify, with major repercussions beyond Ukraine’s borders.
     
  • Marathon negotiations involving Iran, the U.S. and other world powers reached an inflection point that will determine whether the 2015 nuclear deal is revived or collapses.
     
  • After Libya’s eastern-based parliament announced it had appointed a new prime minister and approved his cabinet, the country faces a high risk of institutional division with two rival governments vying for power.
     
  • Deadly political violence in Zimbabwe, which erupted in February, could escalate around by-elections scheduled for 26 March.

 

CrisisWatch also highlights deteriorations in five countries in February.

  • A controversial phone call discussing plans to destabilise Chad surfaced on social media, fuelling tensions between N’djamena and Bangui, and straining progress to hold a pre-dialogue initiative between Chadian authorities and armed groups.
     
  • Gunfire near the government palace in Guinea-Bissau gave rise to competing narratives and exposed the fragility of President Sissoco Embaló’s seat.

 

Aside from the conflict situations we regularly assess, we tracked notable developments in Benin, Bosnia and Herzegovina, and the Nile Waters.

Our CrisisWatch Digests for Ethiopia, Lebanon and Somalia offer a monthly one-page snapshot of conflict-related country trends in a clear, accessible format, using a map of the region to pinpoint developments:

  • View the February 2022 CrisisWatch Digest on Ethiopia here.
  • View the February 2022 CrisisWatch Digest on Lebanon here.
  • View the February 2022 CrisisWatch Digest on Somalia here.