South Africa

South Africa has emerged as a major power on the continent since the end of white minority rule in 1994. Its size, relative stability and the moral authority won through the long anti-apartheid struggle give it unusual weight in African and international diplomacy. Nonetheless, the ruling African National Congress has lost some of its lustre after a decade of economic mismanagement and corruption that has eroded much of the state’s infrastructure. The country has lately experienced severe unrest due largely to persistent crime, joblessness and inequality exacerbated by COVID-19 lockdowns. Through reporting and analysis, Crisis Group tracks indicators of social conflict in the country, advocating for economic reform, while pushing Pretoria to assume a bigger role on the regional stage.

CrisisWatch South Africa

Unchanged Situation

Deputy leader of EFF opposition party defected to MKP party; gunmen targeted and killed local politicians.

Opposition parties faced shake ups. Floyd Shivambu, deputy leader and co-founder of populist opposition party Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF), 15 Aug announced he had resigned from party and was joining largest opposition uMkhonto weSizwe party (MKP) led by former President Zuma to serve as national organiser; EFF leader Julius Malema’s refusal to join President Ramaphosa’s unity govt reportedly informed Shivambu’s decision. MKP continued to face internal power struggles as party 8 Aug fired 15 MPs amid accusations of cronyism. 

Local govt representatives threatened by criminal violence. Amid continued worries over nexus between politics and organised crime, gunmen 19 Aug killed African National Congress (ANC) municipal executive at his home in KwaBhaca town, third murder of ANC leader in Eastern Cape province since Jan. Unknown gunmen 14 Aug shot and wounded Patriotic Alliance party councillor in drive-by after he attempted to mediate gang dispute in Kensington suburb, Cape Town city. Earlier in Johannesburg city, EFF ward councillor shot dead 4 Aug during protest against social housing evictions, with exact circumstances around death unclear; EFF leader Malema 9 Aug alleged councillor was “assassinated”. 

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