The four-year blockade of Qatar by rival Gulf powers is over, but fault lines among these states remain. If the gaps are not bridged, the competition could exacerbate conflicts – and spark new ones – well outside the region.
Standby Country
Dialogue efforts in the Gulf have stalled amid rising tensions. In this excerpt from the Watch List 2023, Crisis Group explains how the EU and its member states can help revive Saudi-Iranian and other talks.
This week on Hold Your Fire!, Richard Atwood speaks with Crisis Group’s Middle East experts Joost Hiltermann and Dina Esfandiary about the World Cup in Qatar, regional politics and friction between the U.S. and Saudi Arabia.
Israel would like to forge a military alliance with the Gulf Arab monarchies as part of its strategy for checking Iran’s power projection in the region. For Gulf capitals, however, the Israeli ambitions risk too much and offer too little.
Post-9/11 events have shaken Riyadh’s and Abu Dhabi’s faith in the durability of Washington’s support. As part of our series, The Legacy of 9/11 and the “War on Terror”, Dina Esfandiary says U.S.-Gulf ties will likely not regain the strength they had twenty years ago.
لقد تصوّرت دول الخليج العربية تهديدات مصدرها إيران منذ ثورة عام 1979. لكن حدة الاحتكاكات خفت مؤخراً، ما يتيح فرصة هامة. ولذلك ينبغي على الرياض وأبو ظبي الاستمرار في الحوار مع طهران بهدف الشروع بأوسع محادثات ممكنة حول السلم والأمن الإقليميين.
This week on Hold Your Fire!, Richard Atwood and Naz Modirzadeh talk to Dina Esfandiary, Crisis Group’s Senior Middle East Adviser, about whether the announcement of an end to the Gulf Cooperation Council dispute means the crisis is really over.
رسمياً، انتهى الخلاف بين قطر وثلاث من جاراتها الخليجيات. لكن الإعلان الرسمي لا يذكر شيئاً عن السياسة الخارجية، مما يعني أن الخصومات داخل الخليج قد تستمر في تأجيج الصراعات والتوترات السياسية في الشرق الأوسط وأفريقيا.
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