The war in Yemen, which escalated in March 2015 when a Saudi-led coalition intervened on behalf of the internationally recognised government against Huthi rebels aligned with former President Ali Abdullah Saleh, has turned a poor country into a humanitarian catastrophe: hunger and fighting could provoke mass famine and waves of refugees; the conflict could destabilise Saudi Arabia; and both sides appear locked in a cycle of escalating violence, derailing UN peace talks. Crisis Group’s focus is on the negotiations: introducing ourselves at key points, shaping the debate, proposing solutions and encouraging stakeholders to modify positions based on our analysis. Concerted effort is required to convince the parties to accept the UN’s roadmap as the basis for a compromise that would end foreign intervention and allow Yemenis to make peace.
مع استِعار الحرب في قطاع غزة، يستمر الصراع الإسرائيلي–الفلسطيني بالتصاعد، ويتسبب بأضرار جسيمة على المدنيين، ويهدد الاستقرار في الشرق الأوسط بأسره. يقدم خبراء مجموعة الأزمات بانوراما شاملة حول مواقف العواصم المختلفة في المنطقة تجاه هذه الأزمة ومصالحها الخاصة فيها.
Saudi-Houthi dialogue appeared to gather steam, while Houthi rebels launched attack in Marib governorate, fortified presence in southwest and attacked Israeli and U.S. targets in Red Sea.
Houthi-Saudi talks continued, boosted by Saudi-Iranian communication. Houthi delegation early month reportedly visited Saudi capital Riyadh – in second such visit in 2023 – to discuss technical details of deal on humanitarian issues, including salary payments. Saudi defence minister 15 Nov met Presidential Leadership Council members in Riyadh for update on talks. Dialogue appeared to benefit from increased engagement between Riyadh and Iran: notably, Iran’s President Raisi 11 Nov met Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman in Riyadh (see Saudi Arabia).
Houthis launched attack in centre, strengthened presence in Taiz, Hodeida and Al-Dhale governorates. Houthis 6-7 Nov launched attack on govt position in Alkassara area, northwestern Marib, triggering clashes that killed eight govt soldiers and injured 17. Govt’s Army Chief of Staff 7 Nov survived assassination attempt in Marib governorate that Ministry of Defence blamed on Houthis. Following recruitment drive fuelled by resentment over Israel’s campaign in Gaza (see Israel-Palestine), Houthis fortified military presence in Taiz and Hodeida governorates near strategic Bab al-Mandab strait; Houthis reportedly installed ballistic missile launch pads in Hodeida. In Al-Dhale governorate, Houthis 12 Nov launched attacks targeting Southern Transitional Council forces in Mount Satah Bab Ghalaq; group escalated activity north of Al-Dhale, 12 Nov launching drone strikes on Habil Al-Abdi district.
Houthis continued to take aim at Israeli and U.S. targets. Houthis 6, 9, 13, 14 Nov claimed drone and ballistic missile attacks on Israeli targets. Group 8 Nov shot down U.S. drone. Houthi leader Abdulmalik al-Houthi 14 Nov vowed to continue attacks on Israel and Israeli ships in Red Sea. U.S. officials 15 Nov reported intercepting drone originating in Yemen in Red Sea. Houthis 19 Nov hijacked ship in Red Sea partially owned by Israeli businessperson and declared all Israel-linked vessels “legitimate target”. U.S. officials said two ballistic missiles were launched 27 Nov from Houthi-controlled areas towards general location of U.S. warship in Red Sea. U.S. Navy 29 Nov shot down drone launched from Houthi-controlled area.
The visit of both the Saudis and the Omanis aims to discuss the final details of the [Yemen] truce extension agreement, which is expected to be announced very soon.
The temporary cessation of hostilities in Yemen, the longest since the start of the war, has given Yemeni civilians much-needed breathing room after eight years of war.
Given the Red Sea's strategic nature as a vital transport route; this [oil spill] can only further internationalise the Yemen war, which already became more complex due t...
For over eighteen months, Saudi Arabia and Yemen’s Houthi rebels have been deep in discussions about a formal long-term ceasefire in their eight-year war. In this Q&A, Crisis Group expert Ahmed Nagi takes the temperature of the slow-moving talks.
لماذا لا ينبغي تجاهل المظالم المحلية في أي عملية سلام
يفتقر المجلس ذو الأعضاء الثمانية الذي يرأس الحكومة اليمنية المعترف بها دولياً إلى رؤية مشتركة لمستقبل البلاد. ومع تطلُّع المملكة العربية السعودية إلى مخرج من حرب اليمن، وظهور المفاوضات مع المتمردين الحوثيين في الأفق، فإن الآن هو الوقت المناسب كي يحلّ المجلس مشاكله.
بعد نحو ثمان سنوات من الحرب في اليمن، تجري مفاوضات بين المتمردين الحوثيين والمملكة العربية السعودية. لكن هذه النقاشات بحد ذاتها لن تتمكن من إنهاء الأعمال القتالية. ولذلك ينبغي على الأمم المتحدة أن تبدأ بتحضير الأرضية لمفاوضات تشمل جميع أطراف الصراع.
Washington Can Help Broker a Lasting Peace
Yemen’s six-month truce is up for renewal on 2 October. The UN and external powers should redouble their efforts to forge agreement on an expanded deal. If those look set to fall short, however, they should propose interim arrangements that avert a return to major combat.
ثمة منشأة تخزين نفط عائمة في المياه اليمنية على وشك التصدع أو الانفجار. والوقت ينفد لجمع 20 مليون دولار هو المبلغ المتبقي اللازم لعملية إنقاذية لمنع حدوث أضرار بيئية واقتصادية بأبعاد تاريخية.
تخضع تعز، وهي مدينة في وسط اليمن، لحصار يفرضه المتمردون الحوثيون يعزلها عملياً عن باقي أنحاء البلاد. إن استعادة إمكانية الوصول إلى المدينة سينقذ حياة الناس ويبني الثقة التي من شأنها أن تساعد في تحقيق السلام في اليمن. لكن الوقت قصير.
يقول خصوم المتمردين الحوثيين في اليمن إن هؤلاء لن يفاوضوا أبداً بنية طيبة. آخرون يعتقدون أنهم قد يفعلون إذا قُدِّم لهم المزيج المناسب من الحوافز. الآن، ومع وجود هدنة تشمل سائر أنحاء البلاد، يتعين على الدبلوماسيين إعطاء الفرضية الثانية فرصة.
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