Relations between Ankara and Brussels have been warming despite democratic backsliding in Türkiye. In this excerpt from the Watch List 2023 – Autumn Update, Crisis Group explains how the EU and its member states can deepen this trend, cooperating with Türkiye in areas of mutual interest.
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The success of Ankara's mediation [over Gaza] will depend on how much influence the political wing of Hamas has on the armed wing.
Ankara remains intent on further pushing back against the PKK [Kurdistan Workers' Party] and its affiliates in the region.
Less escalation in the conflict with the PKK may give authorities [in Türkiye] struggling with how to respond to this unprecedented crisis one less thing to worry about.
If the UN fails to extend its operation [in Syria] via these [Turkish border] crossings, donor states should bypass the UN and do bilateral assistance themselves.
France is paying for its desire to maintain a very significant political and military presence in its former dominions.
Attacks [from the PKK] this year show that they still have the capacity to carry out sensational attacks in Türkiye’s cities.
UN diplomacy aimed at reunifying Cyprus has been drifting since talks broke down in 2017. The Secretary-General should appoint an envoy to draft a roadmap with sufficient incentives to bring both Greek and Turkish Cypriots back to the table.
منذ بدأت الانتفاضة السورية عام 2011، انجرّت أنقرة على نحو أعمق وأعمق إلى الأزمة. من المرجح أن تنزع مقاربتها الآن إلى الثبات. إلّا أن الخيارات التي تتبناها من الآن فصاعداً سيكون لها انعكاسات مهمة على مصير ملايين السوريين.
In this online event, Crisis Group’s experts and external speakers discussed the extent to which hydrocarbons have shaped conflict dynamics in the Eastern Mediterranean and the prospects for effective gas diplomacy, in particular.
This week on War & Peace, Olga Oliker speaks with Crisis Group’s Türkiye Director Nigar Göksel about the Turkish elections and how President Erdoğan’s new term might shape the country’s domestic and foreign policy.
لقد أوقد اكتشاف كميات كبيرة من الغاز في القاع الشرقي للبحر الأبيض المتوسط، على مدى السنوات العشر الماضية، طموحات بربط أسواق الطاقة في المنطقة؛ وبالمقابل، دفع البلدان المتصارعة فيها إلى طاولة المفاوضات. لكن تبيّن أن هذه الآمال العريضة كان مبالغاً بها. رغم ذلك فإن ثمة أهدافاً أضيق نطاقاً ما يزال من الممكن تحقيقها.
Greek and Turkish Cypriots have moved farther apart since a failed summit in 2017, hampering cooperation in several important matters and increasing tensions in the eastern Mediterranean. Hopes for reunifying Cyprus are faint at present, but the parties can still work toward more modest goals.
This week on Hold Your Fire!, Richard speaks with Nigar Göksel, Crisis Group’s Türkiye director, to discuss Ankara’s foreign relations under President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and, with elections scheduled for May, whether a change in Ankara would bring a change in policy.
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