Fighting has intensified in North Kivu, in the eastern Democratic Republic of Congo, with M23 rebels now partially encircling the major city Goma. Regional leaders, particularly Kenya, should press hard for a halt to the insurgent advances and urge Kinshasa and Kigali to reduce tensions.
Russia’s war in Ukraine has roiled the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe. Yet, disruptions notwithstanding, it remains a valuable forum for dialogue between Moscow and the West. Participating states should help it keep playing its important roles, including managing conflict risks.
Orginally Published in The Guardian
Crisis Group co-founder Lord (Mark) Malloch-Brown talks about the shortcomings of global climate financing efforts and explains how conflict-affected countries are the most impacted by this conundrum.
Democratic Republic of Congo
In the run-up to COP27, Crisis Group experts contribute their views on how climate change shapes the conflicts and crises they work on.
At COP27, world leaders will try to raise funds for coping with the effects of climate change. Donors should make more money available and distribute it more equitably, particularly to countries beset by both climate change and war.
The main risk is that if the theocracy [in Iran] proves incapable of reining in the protests, the Revolutionary Guards might push the clerics aside and take over.
A great part of the society is fed up with the Islamic Republic but [...] these grievances run much deeper in border provinces, where the country's minorities reside.
Beijing is still balancing between its interest in maintaining its strategic alignment with Moscow and its interest in keeping its relationship with Washington stable.
If U.S. democracy looks like it is back on life support, I think you'll see even good friends of the U.S. start to edge away from Washington on democracy issues.
[Venezuelan President Maduro] can use repression and fraud to stay in power. But I think he would far rather win a relatively clean election.
Things [in Somalia] are likely to get worse before they get better as both the government and al Shabaab are locked into war mode right now.
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