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Europe & Central Asia

CrisisWatch Europe & Central Asia

CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.

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Trends for Last Month January 2017

Deteriorated Situations

Bosnia And HerzegovinaKosovoUkraine

Improved Situations


Outlook for This Month February 2017

Conflict Risk Alerts


Resolution Opportunities


Reports & Briefings

In The News

9 Feb 2017
[Local barons in Russia's republics often] consolidate their positions in ministries, place their friends and relations in important posts and use various corrupt practices to siphon off resources. Open Democracy

Ekaterina Sokirianskaia

Project Director, Russia & North Caucasus
6 Feb 2017
Fighting on the side of Assad is something that Chechens are reluctant to do as a whole. The Independent

Ekaterina Sokirianskaia

Project Director, Russia & North Caucasus
16 Jan 2017
[Ramzan Kadyrov, Head of the Chechen Republic] knows very well that if there is no Putin in the Kremlin, there will be no Kadyrov in Grozny. Open Democracy

Ekaterina Sokirianskaia

Project Director, Russia & North Caucasus
29 Dec 2016
[A border clash between Armenia and Azerbaijan] is really very strange and surprising. There have been very few incidents outside Nagorno-Karabakh this year. Financial Times

Olesya Vartanyan

Fellow, Europe
12 Dec 2016
Both because of the Syria theater and domestic politics, it doesn’t look like either [Turkey or Kurdish militants] are going to be willing to seek an alternative route in the foreseeable future. TIME

Nigar Göksel

Project Director, Turkey
2 Nov 2016
[The Kremlin hopes] to promote Kadyrov as a brand, as someone who turned the war-torn republic into a peaceful and affluent place, who is loyal to the Putin regime and who promotes conservative values. Slate

Ekaterina Sokirianskaia

Project Director, Russia & North Caucasus

Latest Updates

Op-Ed / Global

First Responders: Europe Reacts to “America First”

As the Trump administration threatens to retreat from America's longstanding alliances, it is time for Europeans to take the lead in guaranteeing their own security.  

Originally published in The Security Times

Op-Ed / Europe & Central Asia

Why NATO Needs A European Pillar

If Europe tries to protect the alliance only by ‘buying’ American commitment through increased defence spending, it will fail.

Originally published in Politico Europe

Ukraine: Military Deadlock, Political Crisis

After three years of conflict and 10,000 deaths, Russia has shown it can destabilise and dominate Ukraine. The Kyiv government may still prevail, but only if it uproots corruption and if the U.S. and EU maintain sanctions until Russia’s complete withdrawal from the country’s east.

Speech / Europe & Central Asia

Turkey and a Region in Crisis

The journey from the best to the worst of days in recent Turkish geopolitics was partly determined by a deteriorating diplomatic context. Our Director of Communications & Outreach Hugh Pope looks back on two decades of change in a keynote speech for the Dutch Peace Research Foundation’s annual prizes for best new MA theses on peace.

Our People

Magdalena Grono

Program Director, Europe & Central Asia

Deirdre Tynan

Project Director, Central Asia

Alçay Akay

Office Manager, Turkey

Alina Dalbaeva

Analyst, Central Asia

Nurjan Ernesova

Office Manager, Bishkek

Nigar Göksel

Project Director, Turkey

Berkay Mandıracı

Analyst, Turkey

Ekaterina Sokirianskaia

Project Director, Russia & North Caucasus