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Europe & Central Asia

CrisisWatch Europe & Central Asia

CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.

View latest updates

Trends for Last Month February 2017

Deteriorated Situations

Nagorno-Karabakh (Azerbaijan)

Improved Situations

none

Outlook for This Month March 2017

Conflict Risk Alerts

none

Resolution Opportunities

none

Reports & Briefings

In The News

11 Mar 2017
Turkey has always set the Euphrates as a red line [for Kurdish forces in Syria]. The problem is it will be a huge gamble to really do that with US, Russia and YPG, who are a proficient fighting force. AP

Noah Bonsey

Senior Analyst, Syria
9 Feb 2017
[Local barons in Russia's republics often] consolidate their positions in ministries, place their friends and relations in important posts and use various corrupt practices to siphon off resources. Open Democracy

Ekaterina Sokirianskaia

Project Director, Russia & North Caucasus
6 Feb 2017
Fighting on the side of Assad is something that Chechens are reluctant to do as a whole. The Independent

Ekaterina Sokirianskaia

Project Director, Russia & North Caucasus
16 Jan 2017
[Ramzan Kadyrov, Head of the Chechen Republic] knows very well that if there is no Putin in the Kremlin, there will be no Kadyrov in Grozny. Open Democracy

Ekaterina Sokirianskaia

Project Director, Russia & North Caucasus
29 Dec 2016
[A border clash between Armenia and Azerbaijan] is really very strange and surprising. There have been very few incidents outside Nagorno-Karabakh this year. Financial Times

Olesya Vartanyan

Fellow, Europe
12 Dec 2016
Both because of the Syria theater and domestic politics, it doesn’t look like either [Turkey or Kurdish militants] are going to be willing to seek an alternative route in the foreseeable future. TIME

Nigar Göksel

Project Director, Turkey

Latest Updates

Vladimir Putin Has One Reliable Set of Allies: Russia’s Iron Ladies

The president’s useful anti-feminists legitimise a slide towards a patriarchal society – and offer no political challenge to his macho leadership.

Originally published in The Guardian

Warning Signs on the Road to Elections in Kyrgyzstan

Recent political protests in Kyrgyzstan signal the possibility of deeper trouble ahead of presidential elections in November. For the first time in the country’s pro-independence history, there is real competition for leadership in Central Asia’s only semi-functioning democracy.

The PKK Conflict in the Context of EU-Turkey Relations

On top of major challenges, including the spillover from the war in Syria, Islamic State terrorism and increasingly heavy-handed governance, Turkey's conflict with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) also reignited last year. In this excerpt from our Watch List 2017 annual early-warning report for European policy makers, Crisis Group urges the European Union and its member states to increase efforts toward two related objectives: improving relations with Ankara and finding a political end to the PKK conflict.

Nagorno-Karabakh: Risks of a New Escalation

Intermittent deadly flare-ups of frontline hostilities between Armenia and Azerbaijan demonstrate the ever-present risk of a wider escalation of the conflict. In this excerpt from our Watch List 2017 annual early-warning report for European policy makers, Crisis Group urges all sides to end the violence through support for existing OSCE mechanisms and for mid-2016 agreements between the two countries.

Op-Ed / Global

First Responders: Europe Reacts to “America First”

As the Trump administration threatens to retreat from America's longstanding alliances, it is time for Europeans to take the lead in guaranteeing their own security.  

Originally published in The Security Times

Our People

Magdalena Grono

Program Director, Europe & Central Asia

Deirdre Tynan

Project Director, Central Asia
DeirdreTynan

Alçay Akay

Office Manager, Turkey

Alina Dalbaeva

Analyst, Central Asia
alinadalbaeva

Nurjan Ernesova

Office Manager, Bishkek

Nigar Göksel

Project Director, Turkey
nigargoksel

Berkay Mandıracı

Analyst, Turkey
BerkayMANDIRACI

Ekaterina Sokirianskaia

Project Director, Russia & North Caucasus